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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 12 posts and replied 576 times.

Post: Everything is down in Phoenix

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  • Specialist
  • OverTheRainbow
  • Posts 607
  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Jim Spatzenfeld:
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:

wow 1250 sq ft houses are worth that much in PHX.. had no clue..  could it be a scrapper and built new ?

Wow, sounds like Phoenix has reached California pricing. 

Actually only Scottsdale, Arcadia, Paradise Valley and a couple of spots in Chandler and Gilbert are like CA.

Prices in Phoenix, Glendale, Peoria, Sun City, Mesa, Chandler, Gilbert etc are all very competitive. I'm an active buyer in teh area and I can assure you there are some nice cash flowing properties. It is appreciating, but nothing like CA.

Post: Everything is down in Phoenix

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  • OverTheRainbow
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  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Robert T.:

My wife and I rent a 3/2 MCM SFH in N. Central Phx with an agreement to buy it from a LOL (little old lady) for $340,000. She wants it sold yesterday; it's free and clear and the zestimate is $390,000. BUT I think this is low?

A house directly behind us (more square footage, but also in original condition) sold for $390,000 seven years ago ($45,000 over list?) and the zestimate for this same house today is $761,500 ($200,000 more, 7 years later?) + another house on the same street just sold for $470,000 and it's very comparable to ours.

This house has been a rental for a long time. It needs everything: new roof, windows/doors, electrical, kitchen/bathrooms, landscaping, etc. it is a good use of space, BUT the house is only 1,250 square feet. The lot size is 1/4 acre (room to add an ADU?) Adding square footage seems to add the most value + adding an ADU would make it a 4/3 (nearly impossible to find among older Phx homes)

If it's done and done right, the house could easily sell for more than $650,000 in 18 months.

We have flipped a few houses and we made money every time, BUT it's been 11 years since we've done a flip + our former "lender" passed away. 

Finance Options?

#1. HML? We don't have 20-30% to put down right now.

#2. Mortgage?  I'm retired and my wife doesn't work (she did all the classes for WFH Contract Tracing, but hasn't started yet) so I doubt we'd qualify right now.  Do lenders ever consider how much someone has paid/is paying in rent?

#3. PML?  How much would a private money lender expect in a scenario like this?  A PML or a business partner/investor would probably be the best scenario, especially since we have a knack for finding good deals. 

#4. Contractor?  Every year a 10 day event is held called "Modern Phoenix Week"  and the Home Tour is the highlight of the event.  They usually choose a few houses from our neighborhood to be a part of it.  This is the perfect project for a contractor who doesn't mind the publicity and wants to showcase their work (when these houses hit the market, it makes news)  However, where does this leave us? 

$340,000 purchase price + $75,000 rehab/holding costs + $35,000 cost to buy and sell = $450,000 total investment 

$650,000 ARV = $200,000 Net (in 18 months)

Other than the local newspaper (which doesn't have a classifieds section anymore) where do you find private investors? 

ANY advice is really appreciated!

thank you in advance, Robert.

I buy in Phoenix. What are the cross streets?

Post: How do you skiptrace your Propstream list?

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  • Specialist
  • OverTheRainbow
  • Posts 607
  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Mike Barone:

@Austin Wood I do exactly that. Export your list from propstream then import into Batch Skip. Once you import it just make sure your fields are mapped properly. Takes less than 5 minutes. 

 Just curious, how did you figure Batch Skip was more accurate? Number of records identified? Higher number of actual people reached?

Post: Should I sell Subject To?

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  • OverTheRainbow
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Originally posted by @Scott McWilliams:

I have a single-family property that hasn't appreciated much in the time that I have owned it, but through my value-add activities I have driven the rents up considerably. I split the property and now it is a 3/2 and a 1/1. Rents have gone from $800 to $1700 in a couple of years. Unfortunately the neighborhood isn't great (not bad, just very mixed) so it hasn't appreciated more than about $5000. So I can't do a cash-out refi to recoup equity.

I found an investor that would buy it at much more than retail value because the rents are so high. Typically in this neighborhood a 4/2 (which is what this property was before I did my value-add) rents for $800-900. Mine is basically doubling the income so the investor sees the value and is willing to pay for it, but they want to do a seller-financing deal. I have a mortgage on the property and don't have the funds to pay it off, so I would have to sell "subject to" in order to get the price that they have offered. 

I know that "subject to" is typically used for distressed sellers. I am not distressed, I would be using this to get a great price for the property. Am I a fool for considering this? Anything I should be looking out for? Any chance I would end up with a mortgage to pay and no property to back it up?

 If you do A Sub To you can't foreclose if he stops making payments, that's a big problem. Also, you no longer own the property.

Do a Wrap instead. Find an attorney who can create a note & deed for the amount you are selling. The buyer pays you, you can foreclose if he stops paying, you continue making your payment to the bank as normal.

Post: SUB TO Mentorship Program With Pace Morby Review

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  • OverTheRainbow
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Originally posted by @Chelsea Cummings:

@Pierre A. I had a consultation call for the mentorship program yesterday evening. It seems to good to be true. How long have you been in the program, and, if you don't mind me asking, what results have you had from it? 

Do you feel like you are getting everything they said you would? I am really wanting to pull the trigger on it, but I am nervous! 

I've done Sub To, Wraps and Lease Options for 30 years: here are some pointers to look for in any program teaching those techniques

1. If they say you need "No" money, Run and don't look back. You have to use money to give the seller "moving money", money to bring the loan current if they are behind, money for title reports, money for escrow, money for advertising, money for making the payments after you take ownership, money for repairs if needed, money for cleaning the property, money in reserve in case everything falls apart (just to mention the big ones, there are also Insurance, water, electricity, power, property taxes and so on). If you use VAs (virtual assistants) that costs money. You can't borrow money from a bank for the purposes of taking a property Subject To.

2. Depending on the market I can spend $5,000 in advertising to get a deal. Or, it can be $500 sometimes. The better neighborhoods and better markets take more money. The less expensive markets are more trouble afterwards.

3. I cash flow at least $500 a month or I won't take the deal. Houses have ongoing expenses. (roofs, water heaters, plumbing, electrical, updates, etc)

4. Yes, there is a Due on Sale clause and yes, there are at least 7 ways to deal with that effectively.

5. If you don't work at it, you won't buy a property. You have to make offers to buy a property. That means being on the phone, a lot. If you don't like people and you don't like being on the phone, do something else.

6. Record the Warranty Deed. Don't use a Quit Claim deed.

7. You are not doing anything wrong or questionable (if you do as I do) so you are proud to record your Deed and don't try to hide things in a "Trust".

8. Use disclosures with both the seller and the buyer (if you do as I do and sell to tenant buyers) and disclose everything, such as that the loan will not be paid off, that they understand they are selling the house, etc.)

9. Be fair. Make it a "win/win" for both the seller and you. If your goal is to retire on one house, "ferget about it. Ain't gonna happen". 10 houses cash flowing at $500 a month is $5000 a month income. That's a start. If you aren't committed to doing at least 10 houses, that is unfortunate for you.

10. When you talk to sellers, use "solution selling". You are there to solve a problem. Ask questions about why they are selling, are they moving locally or staying in town, etc. Try to solve their problem for them by taking over their debt, taking over their payments, give them some cash to move, and allow them time to move in a reasonable time frame.

11. Enter into joint ventures "very cautiously". People have "very different" opinions on how things should be run. You can waste a lot of time sorting issues out. If the mentor says they provide the funding, give them a scenario and ask them to walk you through point by point on who has ownership, how much are they putting in, how much are you putting in, what happens if the deal "goes south", etc. Ask them " say I found a property and the owner needs to move fast, he needs $5000 to move, the ARV is $260,000 the mortgage is $202,00, their payment is $1507 a month and they are 5 months behind." How would you handle that? How much money would I need to do the deal? How much would you put into the deal? What is the exit strategy? How much would we make on the deal? Who would have ownership?"

If they won't take time to go through the scenario to tell you how things work, they are the wrong mentor, obviously. Most "mentors" have only done 2 or maybe 3 Subject To deals so they probably can't answer with any specificity.

You want a mentor that can be presented with any number of scenarios and outline the solution and show the results, on his feet without needing "time to think about it". "I'd have to think about that one" is an excuse for not knowing things he already should know..

12. Pay every payment on time or you are in big trouble. You can be sued by the seller for ruining their credit (no matter what some "guru" may tell you). You can be visited by the Atty General if you are cheating "vulnerable" sellers (foreclosures, handicapped, veterans, elderly and anyone else the Atty General deems vulnerable)

13. Treat it like a business. Track your hours, keep records of who got paid what. Keep records when collecting rents, etc. 

14. Learn the local landlord tenant laws.

15. Most mentors are good for getting people energized - Good mentors work with you step by step to get a house or two and teach you how to move along on your own - Great mentors teach how to buy and manage the properties, set up "systems & methods", along with providing other high level contacts, tax planning, asset protection & generational wealth, strategies for changing markets, and changes in the law.

I don't know the individual you mentioned for possibly mentoring you, but these are some basics to find out from them before you put your hard earned money into a mentor. 

Post: Drywall work in Phoenix AZ

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  • OverTheRainbow
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  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Tom Guca:

Hi, does anyone have a recommendation for a drywall guy/company in Phoenix AZ?  I am working on a small house that needs a heavy skip trowel texture matched.

 I've got a guy that is good and as a bonus, he actually shows up to do the work. I'll DM you.

Post: 250,000 Las Vegans Face Eviction Next Month

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  • OverTheRainbow
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  • Votes 909
250,000 Las Vegans Face Eviction Next Month

I can't count that high so I don't know if it's true, but here is the news . . .


Las Vegas Review-Journal reports


"Las Vegas is expected to become one of the focal points of the eviction crisis as nearly a quarter-million people could be removed from their homes in the coming weeks, reported AP News.

The Las Vegas Review-Journal reports a perfect storm of factors in Clark County including high unemployment, a high percentage of renters, collapsed travel and tourism industry, expiration of the state's eviction mortarium, (sic) and the end of federal unemployment benefits could result in an eviction wave beginning as early as next month.

Las Vegas research group Guinn Center and the COVID-19 Eviction Defense Project in Denver estimates about 250,000 people in Clark County, or approximately 10% of the population, are at risk of eviction in September."

Post: Delinquent FHA Mortgages Soar By Record 60% To All Time High

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  • OverTheRainbow
  • Posts 607
  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Geoff Husa:

@Account Closed have you seen any of those delinquency numbers specific to the Phoenix area, or AZ in general?

 I haven't seen any data that AZ, ID or TX are as affected. It Appears to be mostly New Jersey, Nevada, Florida and Hawaii hurting the most. I know that New York and Illinois are having a significant exodus, we'll see whatever that means over time. I think most midwestern and southern states will fair well. I also think AZ is in pretty good shape and with new high tech companies moving into the area, should fair pretty well.

Post: Owner Filed for Bankruptcy foreclosure sale was conducted

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  • OverTheRainbow
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Originally posted by @Victor Morales:

I am studying following a foreclosure auction case. A foreclosure sale was conducted and the bidding winner got a Certificate of Sale Issued on 07/06/20

Defendant/Owner filed for Bankruptcy on 07/03/20, the suggestion of BK was filled on 07/14/20.

I was wondering if the bid winner would receive his money back and what are the next steps, I understand that the automatic stay protects the owner of the property from foreclosure

What are the possible scenarios to follow?

Thanks!

The owner has up to one minute before the sale to properly file a 1st bankruptcy to "stop" the sale. That can be done by the owner in person at the bankruptcy court with little risk or by a bankruptcy attorney by electronic filing, but he'd better have his act together if he does so. The attorney naturally is held to a higher standard.

If the owner has filed a previous bankruptcy and the bank got a "relief from stay" the 2nd filing may or may not stop the sale depending on the interpretation of the jurisdiction the bankruptcy was filed in or the interpretation of the foreclosing attorney or of the bank, all of whom can declare the sale "invalid" and then they fight it out in court if they disagree.

 If a sale was "held", once the foreclosing attorney is made aware of the bankruptcy filing, they check to see if a previous filing had occurred and if the property had a "relief from stay". If there was no previous filing and if the filing was before the sale, even if the attorney found out hours or a couple of days later, the sale is "canceled" and money is refunded to the winning bidder if there was a bidder. The bank can then "reset" the foreclosure sale for a future date pending the outcome in court of bankruptcy proceedings.

Then you wait and see how the bankruptcy progresses. Slowly, painfully and eventually it is either confirmed, dismissed or discharged.

Post: Delinquent FHA Mortgages Soar By Record 60% To All Time High

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  • OverTheRainbow
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  • Votes 909
Originally posted by @Jason Wray:

John, Luckily FHA has an extenuating circumstance rule that allows for a borrower to still purchase or refinance if they show the late payments, forbearance, modification was due to unforeseen circumstances. Not only that but when you modify a mortgage your still going to see a reduction in Fico scores due to the lesser of the payment reporting. Generally the scores will improve after 12 months of payment or once the modification is completed. I also can tell you that some of that data is also reporting the Covid-19 Cares data.

Those reports are using algorithms that do not have perfect data and will include additional trade lines that are are distressed but being forgiven. None the less these are government insured loans where the buyers pay a ridiculous amounts of UFMIP up front Mortgage insurance premiums and MIP monthly insurance premiums. The values are also very lean due to the AMC appraisals being so strict with comps and active listings. So for once instead of relying on the market to self regulate, Dodd Frank has ensured regulations to reduce the overall losses...

Only thing that may come out of this would be that it opens up more inventory for distressed sales and more rental opportunities for investors.

Lol, I think you are missing the point. We are talking mortgages here, not credit card or auto loan debt and not FICO scores or how to fix your credit. ;-)

"Good mortgage underwriting" is extending loans ONLY to people who "have the ability" AND the "willingness" to repay.

Whichever one it is, one of those is missing now and that brings down the whole system. It's simple monetary physics and a matter of time. In a healthy economy, most people pay their mortgage. This is obviously not a healthy economy with no relief in sight.

It's kind of like, "I like living in a house, instead of on the street, therefore I will pay my mortgage". If that many people can't or won't (whichever it is really doesn't matter) then it's time to change your real estate investing strategy because we are no longer in a normal market.