Karen Margrave
Thanks for the question - and a good one.
The following are reasons why I titled this "Hard Money....."
First, because I hold my properties long term, and even during the downturn rents didn't drop that much, the GREATEST exposure I have to potential losses from real estate price declines is in my hard money loan portfolio.
Next, many hard money investors do not have the "long term, buy and hold, sit it out" mentality that I have in my property ownership. They're really only in it for monthly income, and prefer not to have any excitement, such as taking property back. If prices decline, it hits you faster when those are your (or their) goals.
Hard money borrowers/loans are more likely to make payments (or find a new buyer) when prices are stable or rising. So, in my hard money practice, I have the issue as an investor (holding 75% of the portfolio myself or in my own pension fund) or the issue of a trust deed investment provider (25% of the trust deeds are owned by private investors.)
Flippers are largely in and out, so they will usually sell before a major shift in the market, so where a lot of the readers here are flippers, this post was more directed to the group I feel is most affected by a declining real estate market - trust deed investors. ****
In summary, as hard money lender, or as trust deed investment providers, we have to have more of a "finger on the pulse" of the real estate downturns, as our position tends to "leverage the disaster" of a down market.
Luckily, a small group of us backed off a little (not enough) when the market was puffed this last time.
I'm really benefiting from the feedback and different viewpoints here on BP and I agree with your comments on Orange County, I own several rentals there.
HOWEVER, I'm right in the middle of trying to make another purchase there, so it would be convenient for me if the OC real estate market wasn't quite as darn healthy as it is right now.
Joffrey Long
**** Where I say that trust deed investors are more sensitive and have more risk if the market declines, that depends on many factors, and there are many arguments that could be posed to contradict that. It really represents only the specific circumstances of the crowd I travel in.