Originally posted by @David Parathundil:
I paid for the market access to Kissimmee on AirDNA and got the number of 40k NOI by inputting all the standard rates for taxes and insurance and whatnot. AirDNA ran the numbers and got it so idk exactly how they got it. Their daily rental rate was $220 when it is $150-200 for this type of property.
Met with Tom from Airdna once pricing out some enterprise options and he told me the Rentalizer tab takes the 10-15 or so similar properties (beds and number it accommodates you enter) and mushes 'em all together. So I imagine it's pretty close, but I'd worry that also includes poorly managed properties. That is, it ignores whether they're 25th percentile, etc. Assuming you'll do half a decent job, you'll want to start looking at the 75th percentile for your bed and accommodates +/- 1 or 2 (depending on how many it returns) in the Revenue tab most likely. After a year you'll have your own, new targets based on your own performance.
I'd also caution you when going into Airbnb itself (rather than Airdna) that you're only looking at that season. And you're looking at what the people who haven't been booked yet are asking for. Airdna shows what it was booked for across the month and back in time, which is, I would argue, more important. Using just Airbnb also gets problematic depending on seasonality. If your low season is very low and you extrapolate, revenue comes out low, and vice versa during high season. Sometimes we don't have time to follow a market for an entire year to confirm seasonality.
Of course, to each their own.