I think we are far far away from the scenarios in 2007.
1. The lending guidelines are much tougher now than they were before. Yes, they advertise subprime loans, but almost no one is actually getting those loans. Credit and buyer worthiness are much better than 2007.
2. There was a huge amount of building going on in 2007. There is still very little building now. The reason that prices have gone up is low inventory. Before it was a false demand created by bad lending practices.
3. Housing prices are still not that high countrywide based on historical trends. Yes, they are high compared to the crash we saw 10 years ago. But we had a huge crash and rock bottom prices. Comparing prices to that crash is not a good judge of the market.
4. Affordability is not that bad either. The US actually has one of the most affordable housing markets in the world. Australia, the UK, and Canada all have much less affordable markets and their markets have not crashed. They have had less affordable markets for decades. People tend to find ways to afford houses.
I am not saying it is impossible for a crash to happen, but I don't see it coming. I could see the last one coming. It was crazy what was happening in the lending and real estate world. I could see a slow down or a slight decrease, but not a crash. I think there are too many investors and hedge funds who would pounce on real estate if prices started to drop which would stop a free fall.
The one thing we are still missing that helped create the last crash was inventory. They built too many houses. We have the opposite problem now.