@Dan H. I think we agree on the Capex and it is unfortunate! You certainly seem to have vast experience in your local market. But I was trying to ask (may not have been very clear) how you determined your capex early on in your career. My point is, whether you are out-of-state or local, you will be able to pin point capex over time with more experience but when you start out, unless you are a contractor or work in a similar industry, you have to network and call around to get an understanding of labor rates and material rates. I never said you need to just call a PM and they will provide you labor rates - I think that is a mistake. I believe you need to talk to many people and once you have enough information, you can make informed decisions. Over time as you do many projects in the particular market, you will be able to pinpoint much more accurately what the true costs are locally or out-of-state.
And I get your point of a newbie not having to use a PM. I am just speaking to the analysis part. I believe unless you are planning on just buying a couple of properties locally and manage yourself, you should always include PM costs in analysis before making a decision to acquire - but that is just me.
I touched on all the other advantages you mentioned previously but I think we can go back and fourth forever on this topic. In the end I agree with you that there are benefits of investing locally and managing a team may be slightly easier, but personally, I believe the benefits of out of state investing far exceed the risks unless your local market happens to align with your goals - LONG AS YOU DO YOUR HOMEWORK. If you half-a$$ your work leading up to an investment, you may be able to save the investment locally by busting your a$$ spending a lot of time for little benefit while giving up on the investment out-of-state. So I guess it depends on what type of investor we talk about. I am very analytically driven and detail oriented personally, and so I assume that everyone is, and speak from that perspective. May be that a lot of investors just gamble and buy properties hoping that appreciation will save them or hoping to get lucky. That may work in a 10 year bull market locally or out-of-state but will end badly for most imo.
Good talk!