Quote from @Eric Samuels:
Quote from @Chris Evans:
@Eric Samuels If you're running a renovation business then yes, I'll agree that the ability to keep a pipeline filled is an essential skill. That skill set, however, is required to run any business! If we're talking about being successful in real estate I would say the most essential skill is the ability to plan and act according to the plan.
I've built a portfolio that could allow me to retire in comfort where all but one purchase was an on-market deal with fair valuations. Knowing what you're trying to build and knowing what's required to get there (planning) and then the ability to act on the plan are the two essential skills that I've seen missing from at least 95% of investors.
It's easy to get caught up in the deal's numbers but with a plan of action, investors can eliminate waste, pay the business better, and structure a successful operation that can last for generations.
Thanks Chris. That is a great reminder. One concern I have with sticking to a specific plan is also knowing when to pivot. I also hear great advice on the other side of things where if something goes wrong, being able to pivot quickly between strategies can be a good trait to have as well. Do you have any thoughts on that?
@Eric Samuels The very first fundamental principle we were taught in finance is to have a diversified portfolio. Diversification is a way to minimize the unsystematic (specific) risk of a particular investment. This can be done through several factors:
1. Diversify tenant pool. By having properties in different physical locations near major employment hubs we can reduce the risk that if one employer collapses then we will still have opportunities for qualified tenants.
2. Maximize door count. A duplex will still cashflow with one vacancy compared with an SFR which will not. One move we did from 2021-2022 was to 1031 two SFRs. We purchased two duplexes and one SFR in the sale. This added further diversification by converting two properties to three and two doors to five.
3. Diversify investments. Investing in more than just real estate is a smart plan. Stocks, bonds, PE, business ventures, and rental income is a solid plan. Ideally, these investments should not be correlated. When one market is doing well other investments should underperform or lose money.
4. Avoid over-leverage. One of the most significant causes of failure in real estate investing is over-leverage. Keeping high LTV ratios on every property is a risky endeavor. Portfolio reallocation is sometimes necessary to provide for the long-term success of the investments. What happens if values drop and it's necessary to move to cash or a different market segment? There should be enough equity in the asset so that sales can be made even if values decline.
5. Avoid Concentration Risk. This is the risk that everything is tied to one industry. If a real estate agent is investing in stock with their brokerage and their investments are tied to real estate then it's not hard to see what is possible if the market does significantly decline. We saw this in the early 2000's with the tech bubble burst. Startups paid lucrative stock options to their employees that all imploded when the market shifted. Not only did people lose their source of income, they also lost their entire retirement.
6. Have a real plan. Model your projected cash flows. Know what your goal is and know your exit strategy. Understand what opportunities are in line with these goals so evaluating opportunities becomes much easier. This is something I've started doing for our clientele - we walk them through a risk analysis and goal-setting session to discuss and help plan how their portfolio needs to look now and into the future.