thank you all for your input! Here is some more info about the situation:
- the turnkey provider is Memphis Invest, so no west coast marketers involved. And yes, they must have purchased it for $25K.
- they're telling me it will be a complete rehab costing $40K, and judging from previous photos of the interior I saw on another website, I can believe that - it looked like a hoarder's home, and they've already removed 2-3 giant trees from the front yard that obstructed the house.
- they're telling me they have an algorithm they use with purchase price, carrying costs, closing costs as well as renovation prices that gives them the purchase price of $91,900. They also say 80% of their appraisals come in at contract price and the other 20% is within 5K.
- the fixed expenses I'm predicting are (based on their predicted appraisal of $91,900): principle and interest - $388.28 @ 4.625%, taxes (county and city) of $148.75, and insurance at $42.58. Take out 10% for PM, 5% for maintenance and another 5% for vacancy. Now that I ran the numbers again, it looks even worse.
- I guess what I'm not clear about is since they have such a stellar reputation, and I met and talked with a ton of their investors just a week ago, why they presented me with this questionable property and it doesn't seem to measure up?