Originally posted by @Edwin L.:
@Jeff Wagner, sure..here you go. Still on the hunt and looking for more. What do you guys think?
$186,500 Purchase
Stove/Dishwasher included, negotiated for a new refrigerator and sod. 1 year warranty and 10 year warranty on structure. $1,300 on mini blinds. $450 tenant placement and $100 setup fee to the PM. $350 for property inspection.
$ 41,800 - 20% investment which includes closing cost (Lender credit of $1,500)
$1,750 Rent
$ 800 Mortgage
$ 114 Property Tax
$ 42 Insurance
$ 175 Management Fees (10%)
$ 70 Vacancy (4%)
$ 67 Maintenance (4%)
+$482 Monthly Cash Flow Overall about 13-14% CoC
Based on my experience investing out-of-state, even though a property has been rehabbed, those Maintenance & Vacancy numbers are way too low. I would place both @ 10% each. And I wouldn't touch that money until I have a solid buffer for unexpected repairs. Typical Property Management turnover rate leaves the property vacant for 1 month before a new tenant is placed, leaving you with the PITI payment and no income. The following month (if you get a tenant) you also don't see the rent payment because of the re-leasing fee. So you have 2 months of paying the PITI with no income on the property. I have never seen a Turnkey provider put that in their underwriting. Simultaneously, whenever you have a Tenant Turnover, you also have a whack of Repairs & maintenance in the get-ready process. Typically I have not come out of a Turnover without at least several hundred $$$ R&M (can be over a thousand)... all while collecting NO RENT.
Add a 10% mark-up on all repairs for the Property Management Company and the expenses really add up in the end. (Fine-comb your PM's Schedule of Fees carefully... sometimes you can negotiate.)
These are the "reality factors" that kill the projected ROI. If you have enough other cash flow or savings that can cover for these times, then you should be fine, but if you don't have the depth in your pockets for these scenarios then you can easily get into trouble.
On my 3 properties in Kansas City I had a total of 5.5 months of vacancy over a 4 month period. I know that was about "worst-case-scenario" but it is what happened. In the process of securing new Tenants I was told that the market had softened and could not get the originally advertised Monthly Rent, thus leaving me with a thinner cash flow than originally calculated... Leaving me even more vulnerable. On that, be careful that you don't invest in a market that is hot right now but is about to soften.
While my PM did generously cut me some slack on the re-leasing fees more than once, even that accommodation did not salvage the situation into a positive ROI.
My primary takeaway is to make sure you prepare financially for the worst-case-scenario and only cherry-pick deals that have the biggest margins.
Another takeaway for me would be to perhaps consider blending financed deals and cash deals. With a cash deal you minimize losses when there is a vacancy, because you aren't paying a Mortgage, only Taxes & Insurance. That should add some safety to the portfolio.
All the best!