Originally posted by Mike M:
Since these homes were built in 2005, my guess is they originally sold for more than $500,000.00 and possibly up to $700,000.00.
Using the 50% rule, House one returns 4.7% and House two returns 4.6% unless you can get $1,900 and it will return 5.2%.
I actually like both of them IF 1. You put down enough so that your PI is 50% of the rent 2. There are no major repairs 3. A very strong chance for appreciation.
I would call this a possibility for a "Planned Delayed Flip." This is a planned flip for less than 3 years. If you were to pay $190,000 for house one and put $90,000 down, and then sell it in about 2 years for $300,000, it would not be a bad investment. There is not an investor on BP who wouldn't invest $90,000 today if they were to get $200,000 in 24 months.
Is this a good investment? Probably not, making Hard Money loans, doing short term flips and buying homes that rent for 2% of the purchase price are better investments TODAY. Is this a viable investment strategy? Yes, but it is a GAMBLE.
Personally, I would chose house 1 because in a recovering economy, the lower priced homes appreciate first and quicker.
These both sold at the peak. The smaller sold for 288k. The larger sold for 387k. So, no, not 500-700k. Location is in the Tacoma, WA, not CA. I'm an out of state investor. Repairs for these 2 are minimal.
My plan is to put down 25%, buy, and hold. Maybe I might sell one or two to pay for my kids(they're toddlers now) colleges, but my hope is to generate enough cash flow in the future to pay their college bill as it comes due.
Right now, I don't need cash flow. If I do get a positive cash flow even better. I want to build long term wealth. I'm willing to pay now and reap the rewards later. I don't need the cash flow from day one.
Maybe 2 months ago, I posted a question about my uncle buying his primary residence 30 years ago, for 150k. He moved to another place but rented this original property. It's now valued at 700k(post bubble burst), paid off, and he rents it out for 3100 a month, a nice additional supplemental income. I asked if he were an RE investor. I got comments like, he was lucky(probably), he's better off than 95% of the rest of the population, he's not an good RE investor just someone who makes passive income on one rental property.
To me, the people on this board are savvy investors, probably based on the 2-50 paradigm. I don't have the time to be this good. Plus RE equity is only going to be 25-30% of my net invested assets. I'm trying to duplicate what my uncle did, just by a few multiples.
I don't mind getting slammed her on this board, cause the tid bits I get here are sometimes pretty valuable.