Originally posted by Sherry Lewis:
I have located a possible deal that could be the "diamond in the ruff" scenario but it is partially based on speculation. How dangerous is it to proceed and what are the chances of finding a money partner that is willing to go for it when speculation is involved?
My opinion is that you will likely have a difficult time convincing a private money investor to put a dime based purely on speculation. At the very least, your going to need to some financial projections based on both current and proforma data. And, I do not think putting your name on something speculative is a good feather in your cap.
However, I would support this project should this area need small multi-unit s. The return on investment for MU's are higher than for single and this might give you the edge necessary to get financial interest.
This is what I would do if I were in your shoes.
1. Look to vacancy rates in this area to see how much available housing now exists.
2. If rates are low, then see if there is any data on how many full-time jobs are expected to be created by the build out of the school.
3. Look to see if there are any multiple-units projects in the pipeline and if there are any empty MU lots available.
4. Look to the current zoning and see if you can build small multi-units. You may need a variance which is why you need to look to see if there are any proposed MU projects or MU lots available. If not, then you will have a better shot at convincing the zoning commission and property owners that this area will need low-cost housing to support its growth.
5. Once you have done your due diligence, look for a developer to see if they will get behind your project. With a developer, you stand a much better chance of getting the backing.
Of course, before you commit all this time and energy, you should have these properties under contract. I would also use an option contract as you may find an opportunity to wholesale this to a developer right off the bat. unless you have development experience and/or financial backing, your probably going to need to assign this or take a minority stake.
When your looking for private capital, most will not wait years to see a return. If you can put this under contract with a lengthy option, you might be able to shorten the realization period by a year or more.
Good Luck!