@Phil Z. "Your saying the numbers don't work today, but the numbers might work 10 years from now? Then the numbers don't work and I would not buy it."
Your smart @$$ comment is not appreciated!
1.) I said nothing about 10 years I assume you're referencing my wanting to live in it for 1 year and are mocking me for this!?
2.) The numbers work: Potentially up to $40k profit but I am cautious about the area not having a high sales volume over the past 3-6 months.
3.) The house is in a Great location in town, on a cul de sac and most of the houses that have had trouble selling in this area also are the same ones completely outdated.
4.) My reasons for living in it for a year (possibly longer) are based not on market conditions, but rather personal reasons.
A.) I will be able to get the property with much less cash than the average investor financing 96.5% of sales price ties up less cash
B.) I am renting out a free & clear property that will negate my holding cost living in this one, and it just so happens I plan on living in the area another 1 - 1&1/2 years.
C.) Property taxes at my rental are much lower than at the rehab property so I will save $$$ on taxes getting a homestead exemption and living in it.
D.) My family has gotten bigger and worse case scenario we're upgrading into a much bigger house for next to nothing, and learning ALOT about flipping a house in the process.
E.)Here's the new Ultra conservative numbers for the deal using a J Scott Formula:
Sale Price - Purchase Price - Fixed Cost - Rehab Cost = $20k minimum profit
$220k. $104k. $26k $70k
These numbers for the exception of purchase price and sales price are all intentionally estimated on the high side. The avg sales price for houses in this area are between $70-$75 per square foot. Because my house will be on the larger end I've conservatively estimated it to only sell for $65 per square foot, not even accounting for the fact it will be one of the most updated homes in the neighborhood so getting essentially 10-15% below what others are getting for less shouldn't be a problem!
5.) Contingency plan: If all else fails and we can't sell for a minimum of $20k profit, I am positive we can generate a strong cash on cash return as a rental especially considering we have a large population of military tenants who have a guaranteed BAH. For Example a Captain with dependents have $1683 BAH so we could easily rent a house of this size for $1500-$1600/mo