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All Forum Posts by: Andrew Lax

Andrew Lax has started 9 posts and replied 62 times.

Anyone who got into the RE game after 2010 really hasn't been in the business long enough to experience a down cycle.  RE has been an easy game for the last 15 years.... 

I started in 1990 and never purchased a property solely on appreciation...  

If I cant make +/- 10% cash on cash there is no reason to risk $$$..

Values could be stagnant for several years ... and rents are leveling off .. 

Just my $.02... 

I am selling my 15 SFH portfolio as well ... About the same age..

Have your accountant run the cap gain numbers before you make a decision..

My properties average around 13% of sale price .. Most purchased around 100k and now worth +400k ... 

Many on here are assuming RE will continue to appreciate at these inflated rates  ...   Unless salaries catch up and expenses get under control (RET/Insurance) I dont see that happening ... 

I think a lot of you are younger and dont remember long periods of little to no appreciation.  I feel we are about to enter into that phase.... 

That said, there will always be deals and hope you guys find them - I am about to exit from the RE game :-) 

Post: Loan Pay down and breaking even on cash flow

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Andrew Lax:
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @John Morgan:

@Carlos Lopes

Over 10-15 years you’ll lose $ on a property that isn’t appreciating much or cash flowing. Principal pay down on that loan won’t cover you 10k roof or HVAC replacement etc. You’ll get clobbered because big ticket items needing to be replaced and occasional updating or make ready turnovers between tenants will cost you many thousands. And don’t forget about all the normal wear and tear maintenance issues. Make sure you’re making at least $200-$500/month cash flow and it’s in an appreciating area.


Oooorrrr...... You just don't buy a ticking maintenance bomb. 

Cash-flow is chump change when compared to appreciation. 


 and what happens when the music stops ?   The days of significant appreciation are most likely over in many markets - so it goes back to fundamentals .... 


 Now that I see you from Florida where the party is over … I am not surprise with the comment


 Miami actually - we dont consider that Florida down here ...  but yes it's a little frothy here for sure.. but the rest of Florida could collapse and South Florida is another animal.  Its the East Coast LA ... 

Post: Loan Pay down and breaking even on cash flow

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33

I agree, if your time horizon is long enough RE is a fantastic vehicle to build wealth - its all I have been doing since 1991 .. 

You should show the math if a property was purchased  in 2006/07 .. 

Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:

Send those 12% first position loans my way please !!! 

LOL 

:-)  

Post: Loan Pay down and breaking even on cash flow

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @John Morgan:

@Carlos Lopes

Over 10-15 years you’ll lose $ on a property that isn’t appreciating much or cash flowing. Principal pay down on that loan won’t cover you 10k roof or HVAC replacement etc. You’ll get clobbered because big ticket items needing to be replaced and occasional updating or make ready turnovers between tenants will cost you many thousands. And don’t forget about all the normal wear and tear maintenance issues. Make sure you’re making at least $200-$500/month cash flow and it’s in an appreciating area.


Oooorrrr...... You just don't buy a ticking maintenance bomb. 

Cash-flow is chump change when compared to appreciation. 


 and what happens when the music stops ?   The days of significant appreciation are most likely over in many markets - so it goes back to fundamentals .... 

Post: Negative Cash Flow

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33

What would be an acceptable number for a Buyer to enter into a deal... 

Assume the property is well located with average appreciation ...

Selling some properties of mine and just curious what the average investor buyer is thinking ...

Thanks guys 

LOL -  "acted as and investment broker working on their behalf". 

They could have almost doubled their money in the stock market in that same timeframe  .... 

will reiterate - apologize and thank them again for the $$$ 

Quote from @Andrew Rees:

It is possible (probable) that the taxes were done incorrectly.

Grab a copy of turbotax etc. and punch the numbers in manually and see what you get.

it was a loan, you paid them back, and after everything was said and done you took a loss.

Whoever did your taxes has got something in the wrong column.


 Loan doesnt offset cap gain fyi .... buy for X (basis) ... sell for Y ... the difference is your gain at 20%... plus any recapture at your tax rate...