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All Forum Posts by: Andrew Lax

Andrew Lax has started 9 posts and replied 62 times.

"assuming" 5% appreciation is fairly aggressive .. 

RE has traditionally been a inflation hedge ... 2% 

The past 15 years was an anomaly pushed by low interest rates and COVID 

Hate to say it but the music has stopped after 15 years of easy money.  

Prices wont come down enough to justify buying as a rental, rents could be rolling over and interest rates will be range bound for a long time. 

The days of double digit annual appreciation and cash flowing single family homes wont be coming back ....

Not to say you wont find deals out there - but I would start looking at different asset classes ...  

Multi family, commercial RE, etc.  - Single family homes were never meant to be investments anyway .. 

I could be totally wrong - wouldn't be the first time LOL 

Post: Trying to be creative

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Andrew Lax:

In the process of selling some of my less desirable properties and still working on creative financing ideas;

Do you think the following would be of interest to investors.

  • -ARV - 500k
  • -Purchase Price - 400k (needs full renovation set 50k)
  • - Down Payment - 20%
  • -1st Hard Money Loan - 250k interest only 3 year term
  • -2nd - Hard Money Loan - 70k interest only (interest accrues to earlier of end of term/sale/refinance)
  • -Rate TBD but assume around 10%

Investor would get a discount on ARV and be cash flow positive during the holding period.

My other options appear to be limited and would most likely renovate, sell at ARV , pay cap gains and then reinvest the proceeds into hard money deals or commercial RE…

Thanks again guys ….

 I think you are closer to a decent offer than @Joe Villeneuve.  While I consider him Very knowledgeable, we have very different investment philosophies but both seem to have done well with our investment philosophy. 

>Investor would get a discount on ARV and be cash flow positive during the holding period.

My issue is the premise this is a discount purchase.   I do not do a rehab unless it projects a value add of at least double the projected cost of the value add.  This is because they have risk and take work.  Your price barely meets this minimum criteria, so it is not a discount.  In addition I have yet to encounter a seller cost of value add being as high as my conservative cost Projection for the value add. Maybe if everything went perfect, but that never happens.  

Assuming the buyer can qualify for conventional financing and your numbers are accurate (which I suspect if I was purchasing my value add cost would be higher)  

They purchase at $400k. They spend $50k on rehab in 2 months. They refi with conventional f/f (~7%) at value of $500k at 80% LTV. They pay back the loan.

Issues the numbers are too tight.  The property will be negative cash flow as a rental. 

Now as flip, numbers are too tight and selling and holding costs deplete the $50k added value. 

I will say most properties are currently not working as an investment property but with your value add being needed this is being offered as an investment purchase.  It will not meet any halfway decent investors expected return.  

This does not imply that you are not on a workable offer, but you are not that close as proposed. 

If you think I am wrong, do the rehab yourself and sell post rehab.   The reason you do not is that the numbers do not justify the effort.  

Good luck


 I appreciate the input... and agree btw .... My numbers were just an example for discussion. I have the ability to lower the price until the deal makes sense for both parties...  

Post: Trying to be creative

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Andrew Lax:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Andrew Lax:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:



...and if you think I was lecturing you, you have a very thin skin.  

More like you dont have a clue how you come off. But no worries. take care... 

Post: Trying to be creative

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Andrew Lax:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:

What's the rent. taxes and insurance?

What makes this a "less than desirable" property?

Do you still owe anything on the property?

1. Nets around 25k a year...
2. Not renovated in one of my inferior pockets - but still good area
3. I have no debt on my properties  

1 - Nets around 25k/year tells me nothing and doesn't answer my questions.

2 - What's an "inferior pocket"?
3 - Having no debt opens the door for some real interesting creative seller financing.  What you described as an option isn't a good option (I said that nicer than what I wanted to say).

First, dump the idea of Hard Money.  You're not a hard money lender (unless you are actually/legally one, then if you are I appologize).  Even if you were, why would someone take these terms?  What happens to the deal for the buyer after 3 years and the interest and the loans to you have to be paid?  The answer is a property that loses money big time, and they won't be able to get out of it.

I am a hard money lender .... 

I asked a very simple question dont need a lecture... 

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/negativeamortization.as...

Post: Trying to be creative

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:

What's the rent. taxes and insurance?

What makes this a "less than desirable" property?

Do you still owe anything on the property?

1. Nets around 25k a year...
2. Not renovated in one of my inferior pockets - but still good area
3. I have no debt on my properties  

Post: Trying to be creative

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33

In the process of selling some of my less desirable properties and still working on creative financing ideas;

Do you think the following would be of interest to investors.

  • -ARV - 500k
  • -Purchase Price - 400k (needs full renovation set 50k)
  • - Down Payment - 20%
  • -1st Hard Money Loan - 250k interest only 3 year term
  • -2nd - Hard Money Loan - 70k interest only (interest accrues to earlier of end of term/sale/refinance)
  • -Rate TBD but assume around 10%

Investor would get a discount on ARV and be cash flow positive during the holding period.

My other options appear to be limited and would most likely renovate, sell at ARV , pay cap gains and then reinvest the proceeds into hard money deals or commercial RE…

Thanks again guys ….

Post: national rent control

Andrew LaxPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami
  • Posts 63
  • Votes 33

Pandering to renters thats who - and you think they listen to the details or just simply read the headline / click bait ?
never going to happen... 

Friend of mine invested with a HML in the same fashion... Not secured by the actual loan ... Made good money for a while then the market turned and he lost a lot of coin ... If my name isnt on the Note then would not be interested.

good luck !! 

Assume you have a document permitting them to stay in the Premises after closing ?