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All Forum Posts by: Adrian Stamer

Adrian Stamer has started 14 posts and replied 300 times.

Post: The future of RE investing - 5 and 10 year outlook

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Quote from @Darius Parsia:

The future of Real Estate investing is in danger, and it's going to take a lot of creativity and unity to thrive over the next decade. 

Those of you who've been in it for the past 10 or 20 years can see the writing on the wall, as you've had it "easy" compared to now and the future.
BRRR method has become next to impossible in good markets. Competition is insane.

It takes a lot of courage to go against the grain, to risk shame and censorship to simply state what should be obvious to everyone by now. The controversial matters I'm about to discuss are now public knowledge, however only a few years ago were completely unknown to the masses, except to very savvy (or paranoid) "conspiracy theorists" and there were massive efforts by governments and Big Tech to censor such subjects. Ask yourself - WHY?

If you can swallow your pride, political bias and ego for a moment, I promise this post will provide value to you in the end, no matter your position.

Before you make a quick judgement and skip this post, to be clear I was once a full-fledged Democrat, but now I am NOT affiliated with ANY political "side" as I believe the entire political, two-party system is defunct and corrupt - I mean just look at Nancy Pelosi (D) and Mitch McConnell (R) - a perfect example of how old greedy people remain in power and get to control and affect our lives. Why don't we have term limits?!!! 

Moving on...unfortunately political influence plays a HUGE part in Real Estate and that includes ownership and investing. If you ignore or deny this fact you are either very naïve/uninformed or complicit with bias towards a political agenda or mainstream narrative. 

Despite what traditional economics would teach you, an often overlooked fact is that big corporations, politicians and presidents all have an impact on the overall economy, whether or not we enter senseless wars and inflation - just look at what's happening now vs before our current... "President" who can barely string together a sentence let alone command an army. As a nation, our GDI and GDP are not looking good and we're in more debt than ever before. 

Outside of that, consider what has happened just in the past few years for example, such as communities all over the country where BLM riots occurred that resulted in severe widespread property damage affecting surrounding communities for months later, lowering property values which allowed certain large investors including BlackRock to buy up these areas cheap, with and without leverage. BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street together own nearly ALL assets in the entire world! When you follow the money and dig deeper, you uncover that in that example, the BLM riots were largely funded by Mr. Soros whom has communist and Marxist political views. His famous quote, "Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste". And now you have Democratic cities such as San Francisco, Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York allowing rampant migration, crime and retail theft to continue which affects everything from business to Real Estate, to every day life.

Then, you've got the whole p@ndemic situation that caused people to move out of highly restrictive states & cities where lockdowns caused massive job losses, business closures, suicides, etc., these people who were fed up moved into more "free" states such as Arizona, Texas, Georgia and Florida. If you do enough research, you can find out that even the Pl@nnedemic was political in more ways than one. Evidence is now clear that CV19 leaked from a lab, and Klaus Schwab of the WEF wrote a book about CV19 and the "Great Reset" TWO MONTHS before it occurred and was quoted saying "The p@ndemic represents a rare but narrow window of opportunity [...] to reset our world". Look up Event 201, Agenda 21 and agenda 2030. These are not "conspiracy theories" rather conspiracy facts that are now public knowledge for all to see. You just have to ignore the "Fact Checkers" as they are actually biased liars paid to censor the truth. Dig deep enough and you'll find the truth - think alternative media sources. Twitter (aka X) has more valuable and truthful insight than any "news" corporation (btw ALL of which are owned by just a handful of conglomerate companies).

Here is how all of these agendas will affect Real Estate, ownership and investing over the next 5 and 10 years:

Agenda 21/2030: For more than 20 years, the United Nations has been slowly implementing a plan with global governments to gain more control and consolidation of ALL resources around the world, which includes restricting individual property rights and redistributing wealth from developed to developing nations in the name of questionable climate change "crisis".  They want a one world government and one world currency. 

What does this all mean to us investors? Within two years or less, we will witness a major market crash caused by a combination of another pandemic and war, and more cyber attacks on our infrastructure. Even without all of this we are already on the path towards a de-dollarization and a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). BRICS currency is on its way to launch very soon. Bitcoin can still make you rich as it is a finite asset. At the very least, it is a hedge. During this two to three year period, we will see massive inflation even worse than now, major hikes in interest rates and increasing difficulty to buy, flip and even hold real estate properties - especially SFH. BlackRock and similar funds will continue to by lucrative assets, outbidding smaller investors and that includes multi-family properties. They will end up turning SFH residences and communities into tiny multi apartment dwellings. In order for us regular investors to still find opportunities after all these massive events and changes, we're going to have to work together and utilize pooled resources, creative financing, sweat equity and collaborative development projects.

By the year 2030, according to psycho Schwab and the WEF "You will own nothing and be happy" so that means it will become increasingly difficult to acquire and hold onto real estate per their maniacal plans. What it really means is that only the ultra rich and as well as WEF sponsored, ESG driven organizations will own apartment buildings and other investment properties. The best way we can circumvent this is to network with each other and try to acquire as much LAND as possible and come up with plans to build our own sustainable eco-friendly communities. The further away from major cities, the less of an impact these agendas have on us. In general, land is the key! We need more self-sufficient farming. Big players such as Bill Gates are buying massive amounts of land and destroying millions of trees, turning regular farms into GMO farms. If we the people own most of the land, we remain in control! 

Lastly, beyond 2030 is yet another threat we will have to face and that is A.I. and robots... yes robots. There are already plans to roll out massive robot workforces over the next 10 years and while that may have some benefits, will have drawbacks too because it will accelerate the "need for UBI (Universal Basic Income)" as jobs will gradually disappear. When more and more people become dependent on this fixed income, that will affect our ability to provide affordable housing via SFH rentals and sub 10 unit MFH properties.

If you learn how big players like these control the world, you can use this insight to your advantage and plan for the future, including where and how to invest! It's time to get smart and work together.

These people want to divide us into only two classes - rich and poor and they want to buy up all assets, making it hard for small investors to thrive.

It's a crazy world out there now and things are going to get tougher, but if you are willing to let go of your beliefs and open your eyes and mind, you can find answers and solutions to these challenges we will all continue to face. Together, we can still win!

TLDR; In summary: BUY LAND NOW! (and Bitcoin)

"knowledge Is The Biggest Asset You Can Accumulate"


What an insightful and informed post full of eye opening knowledge and information. Not only has it radically changed my world view, but I’ve completely changed my investment outlook and and criteria. 

I’m all in on Y2K survival boxes!

Post: Just getting into investing

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Quote from @Thomas Zidron:
Quote from @Jonathan Klemm:

Hey @Jorman Miles - You should link up with my partner @Thomas Zidron who is also in the Richmond area.  We have a GC-tech company that operates in Chicago currently, but looking to start taking on more within the Richmond Virginia area.  He can definitely help with any rehab questions!


Hey Jordan!

As Jon said I'm here in Richmond trying to start investing as well.  If you're interested in rehabbing a property I'd be happy to connect and see if I can answer and general questions you may have.


 Long time investor Richmond resident here, but haven’t done many deals specifically in Richmond. But always looking for more deals though and happy to lend a hand with analysis or contacts 

Post: On the clock with a $1 mil in a 1031 - what would you do?

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Quote from @Dustin Street:

Bring that money to KC! We have loads of options for both multi and single family homes. You can get deals that really don't need that much work, have good cashflow, and long term appreciation. 

Send more some more details on KC multis, looking for new markets

Post: Rentals. Do they matter anymore?

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Originally posted by @Taylor L.:
Originally posted by @Justin Pierce:

My portfolio is doing great.  I'm afraid location is probably your major problem.  I was really excited about the Richmond Market.  I'd watched it for years.  It had made an amazing transformation in many neighborhoods.  I could see the potential for it becoming a cool little city.  But, if they're not going to protect their streets then I'm not touching it.  I bought one house there that I still have but I'm not looking for anymore.

Richmond is totally fine. There is a relatively small part of the city itself that had unrest, but that has pretty much all ended by now. Even then it was relegated to Broad St downtown & VCU. As a resident of the city, it's not as bad as the news networks would tell you.

That is to say nothing of the city's business friendliness, which does not seem likely to get better.

 Seconded

Post: SBA Coronavirus EIDL

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Originally posted by @Josh F.:

Can I apply for the EIDL for each of my LLCs?  I have 5+...

I am curious about this part also, as I have properties in different LLCs

Post: Please join me in roasting crappy Appraisers!

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167

I just want to know why they think four year old comps or comps from a different city are acceptable when I know other better comps exist. It always seems to me that they pulled these comps years ago and are too lazy to go out and find the most recent and best ones

Post: Please join me in roasting crappy Appraisers!

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Originally posted by @Nick N.:

 ..Weathermen/women?

Haha I was going to say the same, weather forecasters. Just imagine if surgeons got it right as often as weather forecasts  

Post: Smartcoinbox coin operated laundry

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167

I bought one and have been satisfied with it and just about another 20 I believe for a larger building so fingers crossed it goes well

Post: REI group around Roanoke/Radford VA

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167

I am also interested in this. I think there is a weekly meetup on tuesdays at Logan's roadhouse though the REI website hasn't been updated since 2018

Also if anyone has been lately how is it? Interested in driving over from Richmond sometime 

Post: Capitalization Rate!

Adrian Stamer
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor & Agent
  • Richmond, VA
  • Posts 319
  • Votes 167
Originally posted by @Immanuel Sibero:

@Adrian Fajardo

Yes, you can derive the currently prevailing market cap rate from recently sold properties that are comparable to the property you are analyzing. So the process is really very similar to finding the value of a single family house, you look for recently transacted comparables. Just like in the case of single family houses, you would seek the advice of real estate professionals with knowledge of the local commercial market to find the currently prevailing market cap rate - commercial brokers, agents, lenders, etc. Just like in single family houses, the market cap rate will vary based on the desirability of location (i.e. supply and demand), property type (i.e. A, B, C, etc).

If you haven't already, just do a search on "cap rate" here on BP, you would surely find lively discussions on it. There used to be a "cap rate",person/expert whose posts were very educational but he no longer gets on here. I learned a lot from his posts.

Cheers... Immanuel

 Very good explanation, I feel like cap rates are still the top misunderstood term in real estate investing. To reiterate, no single property determines the cap rate, it is a function of the market and determined by several property comps and also returns investors desire. 

Higher cap rates are not better, they are simply riskier with greater possible return (or loss). Think junk bonds with high interest rates, sure more potential money but greater chance of default.