You can throw every fact, figure, statistic, and voodoo trick you can think of at the wall, and you're probably still wrong.. at least on some level. I know a guy who "predicted" the drop last cycle.... BUT.... he figured it would take longer than reality... So, all those that listened to him still didn't sell fast enough and many were caught with over leveraged houses.
This time, you can say it is going to be bad, but maybe it comes back quick, like a deep V I've been hearing thrown around by all these new economic magicians, now you've "liquidated" everything... and in your world I don't know what that means, but by the way you talk I assume not much, and then you have to buy back in at the same level pricing, or worse, higher pricing because inflation (it's coming.. supposedly?) drives prices on everything up quickly.
Here is the ONLY prediction that is guaranteed to be 100% right, every single day; The market is going to go down, up or stay about the same. Good luck with your fire sales.
