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Updated over 4 years ago, 05/17/2020
Major Depression ahead?
It seems like this crises might be over soon, but that doesn't mean anything will return to normal. In fact there are major changes ahead and the chances of a massive Depression are extremely high. In this post I will explain to you why this is the case. But upfront a basic view of the regular economic cycle:
This total cycle covers 100 years. The linear line is the productivity.
We are currently in the last peak before the massive drop, if you overlook history. (last major depression: 90 years ago)!
All this is in direct connection with the Case-Shiller-House price index, at an all time high, just like in 1929 and 2008. All this together with exponential growth of US credit market debt, at all time highs, with rising Inflation and stagnating wages, will ultimately lead to a depression.
If you want to discuss more about it, I will be glad to discuss it in this forum!
Alexander Roeschmann