"Real Estate Mortgage Demand Jumps Nearly 28% In One Week"

"Real Estate Mortgage Demand Jumps Nearly 28% In One Week"

Real Estate Agent · Atlanta, GA · Member since 2022 · 18 posts · 14 votes

Afternoon Atlanta! You might not have the time to read and keep up with real estate news, so feel free to keep up with my post. I'll share what I read as much as I can.  Published Wednesday January 18, 2023 by CNBC, Diana Olick : 

"Mortgage demand jumps nearly 28% in one week, as interest rates drop to lowest point in months"

"Consumers returned from the holiday season to find mortgage rates at their lowest point since September, and they are responding in dramatic fashion.

Mortgage application volume jumped nearly 28% last week compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) decreased to 6.23% from 6.42%, with points falling to 0.67 from 0.73 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment.

Rates hit a recent high of around 7.2% at the end of October on the MBA’s survey but ended the year at 6.58%. One year ago, the average rate on the 30-year fixed was 3.64%.

Refinance demand made the biggest move, up 34% from the previous week, but it was still 81% lower than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 31.2% of total applications from 30.7% the previous week.

Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 25% week to week but were 35% lower than the same week one year ago." - CNBC, Diana Olick

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Realtor · Denver, CO · Member since 2013 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
3y

How many of those refi's were looking to consolidate debt? That's going to be interesting to watch going forward. People are running out of money... 

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  • Realtor · Denver, CO · Member since 2013 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    3y

    How many of those refi's were looking to consolidate debt? That's going to be interesting to watch going forward. People are running out of money... 

  • Rental Property Investor · Clayton, GA · Member since 2020 · 186 posts · 152 votes
    3y
    Quote from @Matt M.:

    How many of those refi's were looking to consolidate debt? That's going to be interesting to watch going forward. People are running out of money... 


     Yea I'm not sure this is a good thing. I'm not sure who would be excited about a dip of less than a point if its above 6% either way.

    I think its two types of people, like you said people running out of money and taking the money out of their house to consolidate debt, but that just kicks the can down the road from a personal finance standpoint. With layoffs picking up how long will all that last?

    The second type of people are ones that bought recently at 7%+ and now can't sell because of a slowing market, and or are struggling to cover the mortgage now and are hoping that a refi lowers the payment enough to make it more palpable. Takes some pressure off maybe, but still kicking the can down the road.

    At some point these chickens will come home to roost. 

  • Chris SeveneyBusiness Member
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    Investor · VA · Member since 2015 · 21k+ posts · 19k+ votes
    3y
    Quote from @Daniel Jackson:

    Afternoon Atlanta! You might not have the time to read and keep up with real estate news, so feel free to keep up with my post. I'll share what I read as much as I can.  Published Wednesday January 18, 2023 by CNBC, Diana Olick : 

    "Mortgage demand jumps nearly 28% in one week, as interest rates drop to lowest point in months"

    "Consumers returned from the holiday season to find mortgage rates at their lowest point since September, and they are responding in dramatic fashion.

    Mortgage application volume jumped nearly 28% last week compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

    The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) decreased to 6.23% from 6.42%, with points falling to 0.67 from 0.73 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment.

    Rates hit a recent high of around 7.2% at the end of October on the MBA’s survey but ended the year at 6.58%. One year ago, the average rate on the 30-year fixed was 3.64%.

    Refinance demand made the biggest move, up 34% from the previous week, but it was still 81% lower than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 31.2% of total applications from 30.7% the previous week.

    Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 25% week to week but were 35% lower than the same week one year ago." - CNBC, Diana Olick


     This is like watching the market go up for a few days. Real Estate makes up about 4% of our GDP and consists of residential, commercial etc. Wow it went up 34% but its still 81% lower. 

    It is a datapoint to make headlines. The fed has come out and said they are not lowering rates this year, so interest rates are not going back to 3% unless some drastic changes in the bond markets continue.

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