Midwest Multi-Family Analysis Assumption Feedback

Midwest Multi-Family Analysis Assumption Feedback

Real Estate Agent · Cincinnati, OH · Member since 2018 · 15 posts · 5 votes

Looking for feedback on the assumptions I'm using for a buy and hold 4 unit multi-family analysis in the Midwest (Cincinnati). Each of the 4 units rent at $500/mo and are 1BR/1Ba. Separate electrical and heat. Owner would pay for water/sewage and common area electrical. Here are the numbers:

Property Purchased: $80k

Debt Service: $350/mo

Taxes: $275/mo

Gross Scheduled Rent: $2000/mo

Operating Expenses (per month):

- Vacancy: 10% ($200)

- Maintenance: 15% ($300)

- CapEx: 10% ($200)

- Management: 10% ($200)

- Owner Paid Water/Sewage: $150

- Trash Service: $85 (for 3 bins + recycling)

- Insurance: $150

- Owner Paid Electric: $50

Total Operating Expenses: $1610

NOI: $4680

Monthly Cash Flow: $39.05

The neighborhood is at best a C- if not D class neighborhood (high crime, high tenant turnover, low income tenants). Thus my assumption for slightly higher vacancy and maintenance rates. My main question is related to the disconnect I see in with this property vs. the 2% rule and the 50% rule . . . this property pulls in around 2.3% rental income vs. property value and seems to barely cash flow, especially for a multi-family. I know that a lot of people tend to stay away from lower income/high crime neighborhoods due to some of the inherent issues with tenants and high maintenance costs but I've also heard that there's a lot of money to be made in these neighborhoods w/ the right property management team and tenant screening. I would have expected based on the 2.3% rental income that on paper this property would have looked much more appealing vs. what I'm seeing. So what do you guys think - am I being too conservative with my operating cost assumptions (vacancy/maintenance/capex/prop management) or am I correct here and just need to re-evaluate my REI plan?

Thanks for any and all feedback!

-Patrick

0Reply
26 views

Most Popular Reply

Charlotte, NC · Member since 2018 · 180 posts · 144 votes
8y

Patrick,

High crime, low income properties have always been good to me.  Just have to buy them right.

I'm not from Ohio, but your property tax and insurance estimates look high to me for an $80k property (Cinci rate 1.68% according to Google).   Here in Charlotte, I'd line up to buy $80k 4plexes that rent for $2k.  

Good Luck,

Chris

See this reply in the discussion

6 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Charlotte, NC · Member since 2018 · 180 posts · 144 votes
    8y

    Patrick,

    High crime, low income properties have always been good to me.  Just have to buy them right.

    I'm not from Ohio, but your property tax and insurance estimates look high to me for an $80k property (Cinci rate 1.68% according to Google).   Here in Charlotte, I'd line up to buy $80k 4plexes that rent for $2k.  

    Good Luck,

    Chris

  • Investor · La Vernia, TX · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 865 votes
    8y

    Howdy @Patrick Malinowski

    What is the age and current condition of the property?  Any immediate or deferred maintenance required?  You did not account for lawn care/snow removal.  That would easily eat up your $39.05 Cash Flow.

    Agree you should double check the tax rate.  Utilities are also impacting your cash flow.  Can some of that be billed back to the tenants?  What is acceptable in that area?

  • Jason BottPro Member
    Insurance Agent · Nationwide · Member since 2014 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    8y

    @Patrick Malinowski The insurance looks high.  for estimating purposes, I would say you can cut your estimate in half.

    If your looking to move forward with an offer, get a formal quote as the crime area and age will have an impact on the premium.

    Good luck with it.

  • Real Estate Agent · Cincinnati, OH · Member since 2018 · 15 posts · 5 votes
    8y

    Thanks @Chris Sellers. I checked the auditor's website for the taxes and the semi annual net is $1625. This is also a short sale so market value is higher than $80k. Appreciate the input on the insurance rates - I need to get a real quote!

  • Real Estate Agent · Cincinnati, OH · Member since 2018 · 15 posts · 5 votes
    8y

    Hey @John Leavelle!

    Good catch with the yard/snow removal costs - that will definitely eat up the $39.05 cash flow. 

    The 4 units definitely need a little TLC. Outdated kitchens and new flooring needed in all of them. Deferred maintenance most likely includes roof and HVAC. 

    It's pretty common for the owners to pay for water/sewage in the area but I may be able pass the trash removal costs onto the tenants. Or another option might be to raise rents slightly (~$25/mo) to account for those costs. 

    Appreciate the feedback!

  • Real Estate Agent · Cincinnati, OH · Member since 2018 · 15 posts · 5 votes
    8y

    Thanks @Jason Bott! I will definitely look into getting a formal quote to get a better idea of insurance costs . . .

Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.