Reliability of HCAD land valuations

Reliability of HCAD land valuations

Attorney · Houston, TX · Member since 2018 · 34 posts · 50 votes

Was talking to a colleague recently who mentioned the importance of land value as a benchmark when estimating the value of property. This led me to think about what the best way is to estimate land value apart from the value of any improvements. The first thing that occurred to me is the HCAD estimate, which splits its property tax base value into both land value and improvement value.

That said, I've heard that HCAD property tax valuations can differ from going market rates for a lot of reasons. This could mean that the land value listed in property tax records is not reliable. Then again, it seems it should be a lot easier to estimate the land value of a parcel than the improvement value. Land is going to be relatively uniformly valued in a given submarket, putting aside any features that make it especially attractive (ocean view) or unattractive (backing up to a bayou). Improvement value seems like it would be a lot harder to estimate and may be the major reason why HCAD valuations can differ from market rates.

So is HCAD's land valuation figure a reliable reflection of the land value of a given parcel in Harris County? If not, is there a better way to figure the value of land separately from improvements? One option would be to figure the $/sf of any recently sold vacant lots in the area, but in Houston (inner loop at least) there aren't a lot of those for sale, plus sales figures aren't public in Texas. Thanks for any thoughts on this. 

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Rental Property Investor · Katy, TX · Member since 2015 · 175 posts · 111 votes
8y

@Dave Fagundes

HCAD isn't a good gauge for property values, it's a starting point but won't give you realistic values.

Have your realtor pull comps or If you have a good mortgage broker they can pull comps also.

I work with a mortgage broker that is more than willing to pull comps and help evaluate deals. I have closed 5+ loans with him and, sent him sever referrals. That is all part of building a team.

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  • Residential Real Estate Broker · College Station, TX · Member since 2013 · 1k+ posts · 969 votes
    8y

    @Dave Fagundes. I'm not specifically knowledgeable about the HCAD Values, but my guess is they are not reliable as an estimate of value except as a comparison of like properties within the SAME Subdivision.

    For example, I lived and worked as a REALTOR In Austin for 25+ Years. In my immediate vicinity (area that I worked extensively) and did most of my business in there were 2 subdivisions on acreage lots . Parts of each subdivision were on the same street. 

    One subdivision had the lots (1 Acre) valued at $50K and across the street and further down the street was a different subdivision and similar sized lots (1 Acre) were valued at $100K. Homes in both subdivisions were built by different but similar quality builders. The only real difference between the subdivision was one had an HOA and the other didn't. It was quite common to use Comps from one subdivision when evaluating another.

    So look at the HCAD values with a suspicious eye, unless your dealing with properties in the same subdivision. . Only use as a last resort .  

  • Rental Property Investor · Katy, TX · Member since 2015 · 175 posts · 111 votes
    8y

    @Dave Fagundes

    HCAD isn't a good gauge for property values, it's a starting point but won't give you realistic values.

    Have your realtor pull comps or If you have a good mortgage broker they can pull comps also.

    I work with a mortgage broker that is more than willing to pull comps and help evaluate deals. I have closed 5+ loans with him and, sent him sever referrals. That is all part of building a team.

  • Real Estate Agent · Houston, TX · Member since 2015 · 93 posts · 46 votes
    8y

    Land value is just a smaller piece to a bigger puzzle. Many times HCAD will be misleading as those numbers are meant for the district to tax you on and owner can get that appraised number down for tax purposes. It is the equivalent of looking at a ppsf on a home. The number doesn't really tell you anything about the home but is a small piece of the puzzle. Market value will continue to be driven by supply and demand.

  • Houston, TX · Member since 2017 · 33 posts · 16 votes
    8y

     agree with @Jim Cummings. The HCAD evaluation is not reliable. 

    I would not rely on HCAD evaluation. Do look at them for your reference but don't run your numbers based on it. I don't exactly know how they come up with it but I know it does not reflect the market. I'm currently looking to buy a vacant lot just outside the loop and HCAD evaluation is almost half of the market value. Here is how I would calculate the value of the land: 

    1. Look at the recent sold comps for land in the same subdiv. Yes, Texas is a non disclosure state but realtors have access to this data so you can ask them.

    2. If you didn't find any then find out the ARV (sold comps for the a built house) and subtract the cost of building the property from ground up.

    Obviously the second way has a lot more moving parts but I would do the calculation even if there are sold comps for land in the same subdivision. Remember that if you are building in a neighborhood that there are no newly built houses you have to be able to beat the price of those old houses although your property is brand new and the rest of the neighborhood is not (If the comps are older than 10 yrs then you will be able to sell for a little more but as an investor don't count on it...). 

    The second major variable is the cost of building. As a very rough estimate you can put $100/sqft. Use this number just to see if the land is worth building at all. Depending on the quality of the finish, the building size (the larger the size the lower the $/sqft), your level of experience, etc. If it's possible, go to look at the houses that are for sale to get an idea of the finish level. There are houses that are being built at $250+/sqft and others at $60. Also remember to count in the builder cost and your profit. 

    I use this evaluation process strictly for SFHs that I want to flip. depending on your end game strategy your evaluation might be slightly different (ie: if you are a buy-build-holder then you might want to count in rental rates as well) 

    Hope that helped

  • Residential Real Estate Broker · College Station, TX · Member since 2013 · 1k+ posts · 969 votes
    8y

    @Dave Chapa. I read your BP Bio - quite impressive list of achievements - Good on You!

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