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Updated about 9 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Megan Collins
  • Lafayette, CA
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San Francisco or Oakland?

Megan Collins
  • Lafayette, CA
Posted

Hi everyone - I'm new to BiggerPockets and am researching our first multifamily unit in San Francisco Sunset District (or Oakland if the numbers won't work in SF). My husband and I have been renting and saving and are ready to jump in head-first. The past few weeks I've been building my evaluation spreadsheet, researching rehab costs, reading about rent control, and plan to visit some banks this weekend to start the pre-approval process. I'm all about the numbers and details.  Any bay-area specific forums/blogs I should join? Anyone have realtor, lender, contractor recommendations? Thank you all! I'm excited to make this happen and am happy my friend recommended BiggerPockets.

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J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
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J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
Replied

@Megan Collins ,

Welcome! I'm an East Bay investor, and have some property in Oakland, but maybe some others can jump in on SF.

Heed the warnings (and opportunities) of those like @Arlen Chou that voice the risks - and what you can unlock. But unless you are really repositioning a property or get a good deal in this market (tough, especially in SF, although slightly easier in Sunset..)...

I PERSONALLY DO NOT THINK IT IS A GOOD TIME TO BUY IN THE BAY AREA. I think you would get a better deal, and better returns over a 3, 5, 7 year period if you wait 2-3 years (both in price, selection/inventory, better ability to negotiate with more days on market). You asked about some reads.. The reasons why, with supporting data and charts, were recently discussed by several of us here:

https://www.biggerpockets.com/forums/311/topics/262973-unemployment-analysis-and-charts---sf-bay-area-and-us---any-better?page=1#p1723219

Megan you tell me which of these graphs is for San Francisco, and do SF real estate prices decouple from unemployment? (left axis is unemployment in red, and blue line for right axis is home price index

I also recommend Patrick Carlisle's work on San Francisco. His "30 years of SF RE" is a must read (not just plugging it because you'll see my name in there ;) He has a lot of other great analysis on the Paragon website also..

http://www.paragon-re.com/3_Recessions_2_Bubbles_and_a_Baby

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