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Updated about 1 year ago, 10/27/2023
ROI increases as amount down increases? Where is my analysis flawed?
Hi gang,
Been away for awhile. Retired about 3 years ago and have been living the dream on my passive real estate income. :)
I recently sat down with a friend to help them analyze their first SFH rental investment. During the analysis I came up with the surprising result that the Cash-On-Cash ROI got better the more money we put into the investment. This result goes against everything I have ever heard (or believed) about real estate investing.
Here's the deal. (It's not a good deal, but all the deals are bad these days.)
Price: $153,000
Mortgage Rate: 8%
Rent: $1195
Fixed Expenses (management, repairs, tax, insurance, etc.): $468/mo
Here is my spreadsheet. I am calculating CoC ROI as (yearly net / down payment). I've checked many of these numbers by hand, and had my wife build her own spreadsheet to double check. She came up with the same results. So I don't think there is a math error.
What am I missing in my analysis?
I'm sure I'm having a senior moment and am doing something dumb. I look forward to having you all 'splain how dumb I'm being. (Thanks in advance.)
%Down | Down | Mort | Cash Flow | CoC ROI |
0.00% | $0 | $1,122.66 | -$395.26 | * |
5.00% | $7,650 | $1,066.53 | -$339.13 | -53.2% |
10.00% | $15,300 | $1,010.39 | -$282.99 | -22.2% |
15.00% | $22,950 | $954.26 | -$226.86 | -11.9% |
20.00% | $30,600 | $898.13 | -$170.73 | -6.7% |
25.00% | $38,250 | $841.99 | -$114.59 | -3.6% |
30.00% | $45,900 | $785.86 | -$58.46 | -1.5% |
35.00% | $53,550 | $729.73 | -$2.33 | -0.1% |
40.00% | $61,200 | $673.60 | $53.80 | 1.1% |
45.00% | $68,850 | $617.46 | $109.94 | 1.9% |
50.00% | $76,500 | $561.33 | $166.07 | 2.6% |
55.00% | $84,150 | $505.20 | $222.20 | 3.2% |
60.00% | $91,800 | $449.06 | $278.34 | 3.6% |
65.00% | $99,450 | $392.93 | $334.47 | 4.0% |
70.00% | $107,100 | $336.80 | $390.60 | 4.4% |
75.00% | $114,750 | $280.66 | $446.74 | 4.7% |
80.00% | $122,400 | $224.53 | $502.87 | 4.9% |
85.00% | $130,050 | $168.40 | $559.00 | 5.2% |
90.00% | $137,700 | $112.27 | $615.13 | 5.4% |
95.00% | $145,350 | $56.13 | $671.27 | 5.5% |
100.00% | $153,000 | $0.00 | $727.40 | 5.7% |