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Updated over 5 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Soul Luciani
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Best time to invest in North Cal

Soul Luciani
Posted

I would like to get started investing in multI-unit properties in North Cal. It seems like Sacramento and Stockton are my best choices for lower entry fee and good cash flow. 

The concern that I have is keep hearing recession, recession, recession. I’m worried that if I enter the market and recession hits next year, rents may decrease in these areas and I could be upside down.

Should I try to get in the market now or be patient and wait?

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Jay Hinrichs
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#1 All Forums Contributor
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
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Jay Hinrichs
Professional Services
#1 All Forums Contributor
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
Replied
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:

@Soul Luciani. The best time to buy in northern CA was 20 years ago or more.. the second best time is now.

 best time was the mid 70s to be exact.. by 1980 prices had started there historic appreciation rise second to none in the US.

anyone who bought in the 70s in the right areas is a multi millionaire on equity alone.. and if it was the exact right area SF peninsula you could be a multi millionaire with exactly ONE single family home.. I just cant think about it growing up in it..  Man.. appreciation in the right areas is the way to becoming very very rich.. 

there is a post on the thread  Rent control sweeping the US..  one investor in SF  Amit  makes some great points.. he has a total of 13 doors those 13 SF doors would be about 100 to 200 mid west doors.. its on a scale of 10 to one and as high as 20 to 1.

so who has it better.. manage 13 doors to make the same cash flow as managing 100 plus doors..  guess who makes the most money short term and long term.

We’re starting to see that now in my local market.  People who have owned in Raleigh for 20 years are starting to see major value increases.  From the people I’ve spoken to this area never really crunched during 2008, just plateaued.  This could continue for another 10 plus years as housing here (which seems expensive to me) is still extremely affordable compared to the the northeast and west coast  

in the SF bay area and of course some of LA  NYC  Boston north side Chicago and some other areas.. but I just look at the first house in bought in Milpitas in late 70s for 75k  brand new construction 1400 sq ft rancher.. today just under 1 million.

I then bought a house in Palo Alto early 80s for 185k..  3 and 1 900 sq feet built post war.. did not even have a dishwasher or garburator.

Today value well over 2 million   684 Encina Grande Palo Alto Lots in Palo Alto are now 2 million.   and I built another spec late 80s there that I sold for just under 750 and that would be worth at least 4 today.. so you take all the folks my age and older who bought in those areas and lived there their whole life and you can see the massive transfer of wealth that is happening when they pass.   But would a shoulda coulda ..  sold them all made some pretty big money doing that and it propelled me to build business's  so all good in the end. cant take it with you..  actually right now I spent the weekend studying  when I can take my SSI and when I can get on medicare  LOL.. 

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JLH Capital Partners

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