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Updated over 7 years ago on . Most recent reply
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Legalized marijuana and the effect on the market
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Hi @Bryan Cork
Here's what has been happening in California real estate. The market has been boom-bust-boom again. Initially, few counties were allowing cannabis businesses. Those that were experienced booms where, for example, real estate that was worth maybe $100,000, such as a polluted automotive junk yard, went on sale for over $2 million because it was zoned "Industrial" allowing use of volatile solvents for manufacturing (one type of cannabis distillation). Then as more and more counties saw the masses of $$ flowing, they allowed cannabis businesses. Then prices dropped as all sorts of middle-of-nowhere places have allowed these businesses into their industrial areas. Investors started noticing and thinking "why should I pay $2 million in one nowhere place when I can buy in a slightly farther nowhere and save $1 million." Now, there are hundreds of growers looking for investors and investors are sitting on their money watching the prices drop. It's all a very interesting study in supply and demand. California is a huge state. There is a lot of real estate. I've been a part of some of these deal and the psychology of everyone involved is fascinating.
Once the property is developed, and becomes a business with demonstrable cash flow, the value goes up again. But people dont trust one another because the P&L's are unverified because its all cash and the taxes are sketchy. So rather than just buying/selling, people form partnerships (LLCs) which solves some problems and creates other problems. It's an interesting time to be a lawyer, for sure.
Jen