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Updated over 9 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Shannon Sadik
  • Rochester, NY
65
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What is a good cap rate for apartments? Are they really better than SF and small Multis?

Shannon Sadik
  • Rochester, NY
Posted

I am fairly new to investing, but want to grow aggressively and have been considering taking cash I have and investing in an apartment building (currently looking at 6-10 units). 

I've done a lot of digging on the site and listen to the podcasts. I keep seeing/hearing the number "10% cap rates" come up, but I've yet to find a definitive answer on what is considered "good" when it comes to apartment buildings and what I should aim for when buying. 

I have a few duplexes and single families and get great cash flow on them (which is what I personally want and care about) and they are all at 10-15% cap rates in A to B- neighborhoods (just selling on the regular ol' MLS) and don't really require a lot of upkeep, maintenance, etc and rent easily. I am familiar with the pros and cons of buying a small MF vs SF and large apartments, but even still, why would I pay a huge amount of money down to get a smaller cap rate of 10% when I can find much better cap rates elsewhere?

I ask because it seems to me that the average trajectory of an investor is to start off with smaller properties and eventually buy bigger ones, but these numbers don't really seem like growth to me. Again, I'm newer to investing, but is the economy of scale and ease of one building really worth it? In my case and market (Rochester, NY), should I be aiming for higher cap rate buildings? 

Let me know your thoughts. 

Most Popular Reply

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Brian Burke
#1 Multi-Family and Apartment Investing Contributor
  • Investor
  • Santa Rosa, CA
6,907
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Brian Burke
#1 Multi-Family and Apartment Investing Contributor
  • Investor
  • Santa Rosa, CA
Replied
Originally posted by @Shannon Sadik:

So... to my original question: what is a good cap rate to aim for? Should I aim for at least 10% since I can definitely get that elsewhere?  

Shannon, forget about aiming for a cap rate. This is a mistake that new investors make when trying to get into the Multifamily space. Then they wonder why they never find a deal and then declare that the other buyers are crazy because they are paying way too much because they bought at X cap rate and not at 10%. You see, cap rate isn't about you. It's about the market and what buyers in the market are willing to pay. You can't buy a property at a 10% cap rate in a market that is trading at a 6 cap. Unless, of course, you find a deal that no one else is looking at and is owned by a seller that has no idea what they're doing...or if YOU think it's a 10 cap when it really isn't because you are calculating the NOI improperly. BTW, the second example is more common than the first.

So instead of trying to control that which you cannot, use cap rate properly and thus to your advantage. Cap rate should be used to calculate your exit, not your acquisition. To do this, first you must forecast what the income will be every year of your hold period. Next you will use whatever the prevailing market cap rate is to calculate the property's value each year. Now you can calculate the IRR of the deal using the cash flows from the sale (in whichever year you choose) and from the cash flow during the hold period and determine if the rate of return is acceptable to you. The IRR is the measure of the quality of the deal, not cap rate.

Don't believe me? Here are two pieces of evidence: 1. if you increase the NOI by $10,000 you increase the resale value of a 10 cap deal by $100,000 but a 6 cap deal goes up $166,667. 2. If rent growth is forecast to be 1% in a 10 cap market but 5% in a 6 cap market, from which deal will you collect more total cash during the lifecycle of the deal?

Winning the game means picking the investment alternative that pays the most in total. Cap rate alone will not tell you the answer to the game-winning question. It is a lot more complicated than that. Finally...there are trade-offs to be made in order to conform your investment to your goals. Some people buy stocks that pay high dividends but have little chance of trading much higher (or even buy bonds) while other investors buy growth stocks that pay no dividends but have a great chance of appreciating exponentially. Such is the relationship between cash on cash return and IRR, so you have to find the combination that works best for you and fits with your strategy.

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