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Updated about 3 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Marc Alexander
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Can I get a reality check on my goals and expectations?

Marc Alexander
Posted

Hello BP, this is my very first post.  I'm getting back into the real estate game after being dormant for well over a decade.  My goals are to generate enough passive income to not have to worry about my 9-5 anymore.  Ultimately I'd like to retire in ~10yrs and live 100% off passive income, but I think I can actually get it done sooner than that based on the numbers I'm seeing.  This is where I need a reality check... I feel like I might be oversimplifying things a bit and would greatly appreciate another perspective on what my goals and expectations are.  

My high-level plan is to leverage all cashflow producing properties in my general area (NE US) using #1 the equity I currently have in my SFH ($100k-$150k) and #2 using the cash I've been saving/investing ($200k-$300k).

Currently I have $400k-$450k available to me as 20% down payments on high cashflowing properties.  I don't feel I'll need to use all that capital because I have the ability to raise funds thru investors, but I want to have a proven track record (couple years of solid returns) before I would feel comfortable bringing people on. 

The numbers I've ran show there are several units in my areas generating +$1k month in positive cash after paying all expenses (mortgage, ins, taxes, any utilities & 1mo vacancy/repairs, self managed) using anywhere between $45k-$55k down to achieve 20% on a 3% conventional loan.  On average, I am seeing $1k/mo in cash flow for a $250k-$285k property, thats a +20% return in the first year.  The really good stuff is showing 22-24%, but I am trying to be conservative with my forecasts.

Scaling up, using all my available capital (I don't feel I will need to, but worse case scenario), if I am efficient with my purchases and stay around a 20% return, which doesn't seem too unrealistic in my area, i should be able to get ~$90k year in passive cashflow in 8 deals or less.  That is enough for me to retire on... what am I missing?

I feel like the numbers are almost too good and there might be some fundamental cost or expense I am overlooking.  Will lenders keep giving me loans as long my debt to income ratio is favorable or will I be cut-off at some point because I am too leveraged?  

I am currently getting pre-approvals with 2 different brokers and have several properties I am eyeing (both on and off market), ready to inspect and make an offer... Any advice would be greatly appreciated!

Most Popular Reply

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Eric James
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
2,508
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Eric James
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
Replied

The question is, if you're numbers are accurate. Is the $1k cash flow for a $280k property a small multifamily? SFH in that price range don't usually cash flow $1k/month with a 75-80% LTV mortgage.

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