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All Forum Posts by: Eric James

Eric James has started 22 posts and replied 2234 times.

Somewhat similar story as myself. Except I don't want to live off my children's inheritance. Looking to double my portfolio within the next couple years.

Post: Is it a Buyer's Market in your niche/town?

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Andrew Syrios:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Morgan Leiviska:

I'm in western washington, seattle/tacoma. we are getting a lot more "price improvements" here and less waived contingencies.


I love the term price improvement  :)  rural W Wa I suspect is buyers market but in some of those town the lack of inventory keeps things moving. 

Portland suburbs still flight seller advantage.. Portland metro is a buyers advantage given the social issues that the city allowed to take hold.. 

 One thing we all need to keep in mind is we're not long removed from the most absurd sellers market (mid 2020 through mid 2022) in American history, so we may have a skewed view of what a buyer's and seller's market actually are. 


agreed in all my years in this markets seemed to go in 8 to 10 year cycles.. so end of 2022 is about a 10 year cycle from the low of 2011 2012 ??? 

 Yes, looks like 8-10 years peak to trough. 16-20 years peak to peak. And we're a long way above the inflation adjusted level 1.0

Post: Will Population Decline Affect Housing?

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510

China's population is projected to drop from 1.4 billion (in 2021) to under 800 million by the end of this century. The US is behind China in this trend, but this is what's coming to the US in the future.

Post: Will Population Decline Affect Housing?

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510

The first effects on the US economy may be economic, as some countries around the world begin collapsing. The US will probably be able to delay major effects longer than most countries by bringing in immigrants. But eventually the world (in 70 years or so) and US populations will begin declining. The large problems won't be simply due to population decline, but rapid population decline. 

Obviously decreased housing demand will affect real estate values. I'll be teaching my children that while we're making money on real estate right now, at some point future generations will need to get out of real estate. Maybe they'll need to get into nursing home and mortuary businesses. 

Post: Why Aren’t More Investors Building Instead of Buying?

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510

I've been building small apartment complexes. I hire my own crew and work with them daily. Building just outside city limits in TX (where the only permits are septic if needed) I'm able to build for $80/sq ft. At that cost I've been able to refinance all my cash out.

Post: This is why I invested.

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510

This is why I think the general preoccupation of people with having a job/career is faulty.

Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Eric James:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Lucas Thomas:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Lucas Thomas:
Quote from @Stuart Udis:

There’s no such thing as a passive investment in a “D” neighborhood if you’re the owner. I also don’t believe anyone suggested in this thread that cash flow is not important. Cash flow is important to the extent it covers expenses and provides reserves in order to obtain favorable debt.

An investor who understands market fundamentals and invests in the correct markets will outperform the investor who purchases real estate in stagnant D neighborhoods.Thats the reality.

 Another factor not discussed is the disposition process of lower tier real estate. These transactions are disproportionately impacted by transaction fees as well and the only “natural buyer” is another investor often in markets with endless supply of similar product which impacts pricing dynamics. Usually these are properties with paper equity that never translates at time of sale. But I doubt I’ll get someone who can’t seem to acknowledge lower value real estate is disproportionately more expensive to operate to buy into this either….

 Silly Stuart. 

You operate in a state that doesn't inflate like mine do. 

My "D" properties are worth way more than your "A+" Townhomes. :)

And I bought them for nothing (Meth Dens) over the last 15 years.  

And the operational costs are cheaper because I don't have to make anything pretty. 

You just want to die on this hill don't you? 

But seriously... I'm out. 

Toodeloo. 

P.S. 


Don't be mad that people like me exist and make passive income on "D" areas. 

Toodles!


Dude,  your experience posted on your wall is quite amazing.. everything is  1mil with 250k down and 10k a month or 100k purchase with 20k down and 2k a month.. also you say you are realtor a lender a note buyer etc etc.. pretty amazing 

And the markets you say you own or work in D class are basically less valuable than Stuarts D class dollar wise.. I think folks need to take a grain of salt with the things you post myself I am suspect .. Stuart has been a benefical member of BP for years and I know he knows his market and what he describes is true. Myself I rent our funds out to BRRR folks and flippers in all the markets you describe in your bio. And have done over 4k transactions including Philly.. Now to be fair I have not done anything in NM .  But I do track some of the RE there as folks come to me to fund deals there so not a market I am interested in these days. 

But we are entitled to our opinions.. I personally drank the D class coolaid as a landlord and bought about 300 of them in many of the markets you are in. I exited them within 24 months.. Management was just too intense and there are better things to do with our capital like renting our money or building new homes and selling them to home owners.. But I realize BP has a lot of starter investors that just want to buy a rental or a few for long term investments.. And I think personally all the markets your in this can be done but I do recommend buying at the median home price and above for the out of area small investor to have the greatest chance of long term success.. 

 You have a weak stomach and just because you bought a bunch of properties wrong and hired the wrong people just goes to show you don't know how to buy in the asset class. Thanks expert. 

The whole point of this thread was to talk trash on Class D.  So I'm talking about the downsides of Class B+ and you primadonnas got all butt hurt cause you can't take the heat. If you can't operate in the "meat grinder", keep your opinions to yourself.

Anyway.. 

I'm done on this thread cause apparently going to someones profile and using personal attacks on people is tolerated. As I've been nothing but kind in my responses. I haven't called anyone the "S" word. I didn't go to anyone's profile and start making personal attacks. All I did was show that Stuarts properties don't make sense on paper, has a bad opinion on an asset class he doesn't own or understand, and he made a comment about if you just "build" them, you can win. Cause that's available for 99% of us. Lol

And yeah,  my profile is bare because I operate in an ugly asset class and people aren't very nice. Present company included. You keep trying to hurt my lil ol' feelings because I make money off something you can't.  sad :( face.  


I am not talking trash about D class heck I make a great living funding those that are in the D class buy hold model.. Many of my clients own 200 or more doors and I help them buy more  each and every week in cities  like Baltimore and Cleveland and KC  Toledo St. Lu Bham   etc etc.. The point of this thread though is its not for everyone and certainly very risky for folks that are not local and cant scale.. In fact I personally will not loan to anyone who is not local. I will consider those that have a local partner though.. I have clients like CA based tech folks that partner with a local and are building larger portfolios.. But one off no way.. 

As to the information on your Wall .  A lot of Folks on BP look at those not to dissect or criticizes but to sum up the veracity of the person giving advice on BP.. So no way to really know what you have or dont have etc etc.. I will let others also have thier own conclusion about that.. If you make D class work for you.. Good for you.. Its sorely needed.. I know in Baltimore for instance I am super proud of what I do there in the D class area with my two clients that each own well over 200 row houses as I stated.. I funding a 23 home package for one next week.. they are all shells al blighted on one block each will take at least 100k for the full gut rehab.. so there we are pumping 2.5 million in cash into the hood.. that is something that my client can be proud of and I am proud to be his capital partner.. 

then on the flip side you go to my 90 home new build Project in Oregon 750 to 1 mil each that I own and have been selling to owner occ and a lot of those folks are paying cash  U know empty nesters down sizing to very nice Single levels.. So its pretty wild  fund a home that can be bought for 10k then build 750k plus and we do some 2 mil plus builds in charleston SC. Kind of all over the map.. But I still go back to my roots at D class C class funding..

And just because I dont care to own them  like I said I had 300 at one time.. does not mean its bad for others to own that class.. The exception is the out of area going to buy one or two.. those folks I think take on more risk than they realize and would generally be better buying in a better neighborhood and asset class.. 

 Jay....your partners in the blighted areas, after they rehab those houses are there comps for them to appraise and refi out their cash? Seems like it could be difficult to get a place to appraise over $100k in bad areas 


Actually No they get appraisals in the 200 to 275k range ..  and refi out and have no cash into them once i am paid keep in mind I fund these guys 100% so they have no cash in  them up front and I get all the refi proceeds.. There is another guy I fund there he grew up there is a local and he is retailing his homes.. I saw one on a recent TV fix and flip show.. A local resident who is in pro B ball came back and bought one.. And if you use that show this is the quality of rehab that my clients are doing.. its really C to B class rehabs all ststems new.  one thing about the Row houses u have small roof and only the front and back to worry about compared to a 4 sided property.. so most of the 100k goes into full gut rehab.. new kitchens bathrooms stainless appliances etc.. So the renters love them and sec 8 in that area is 1700 to 2400 a month. So they do cash flow with zero money out of pocket.. Again since I am giving them 100% financing the refi just pays me and they are off and running.. 

Bottom line there are enough retail sales to establish the comps.. 

 Wow, that's quite an area. Class D area with homes over $200k market value and section 8 paying $2000 rents. You're a one man gentrification machine. :)

Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Lucas Thomas:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Lucas Thomas:
Quote from @Stuart Udis:

There’s no such thing as a passive investment in a “D” neighborhood if you’re the owner. I also don’t believe anyone suggested in this thread that cash flow is not important. Cash flow is important to the extent it covers expenses and provides reserves in order to obtain favorable debt.

An investor who understands market fundamentals and invests in the correct markets will outperform the investor who purchases real estate in stagnant D neighborhoods.Thats the reality.

 Another factor not discussed is the disposition process of lower tier real estate. These transactions are disproportionately impacted by transaction fees as well and the only “natural buyer” is another investor often in markets with endless supply of similar product which impacts pricing dynamics. Usually these are properties with paper equity that never translates at time of sale. But I doubt I’ll get someone who can’t seem to acknowledge lower value real estate is disproportionately more expensive to operate to buy into this either….

 Silly Stuart. 

You operate in a state that doesn't inflate like mine do. 

My "D" properties are worth way more than your "A+" Townhomes. :)

And I bought them for nothing (Meth Dens) over the last 15 years.  

And the operational costs are cheaper because I don't have to make anything pretty. 

You just want to die on this hill don't you? 

But seriously... I'm out. 

Toodeloo. 

P.S. 


Don't be mad that people like me exist and make passive income on "D" areas. 

Toodles!


Dude,  your experience posted on your wall is quite amazing.. everything is  1mil with 250k down and 10k a month or 100k purchase with 20k down and 2k a month.. also you say you are realtor a lender a note buyer etc etc.. pretty amazing 

And the markets you say you own or work in D class are basically less valuable than Stuarts D class dollar wise.. I think folks need to take a grain of salt with the things you post myself I am suspect .. Stuart has been a benefical member of BP for years and I know he knows his market and what he describes is true. Myself I rent our funds out to BRRR folks and flippers in all the markets you describe in your bio. And have done over 4k transactions including Philly.. Now to be fair I have not done anything in NM .  But I do track some of the RE there as folks come to me to fund deals there so not a market I am interested in these days. 

But we are entitled to our opinions.. I personally drank the D class coolaid as a landlord and bought about 300 of them in many of the markets you are in. I exited them within 24 months.. Management was just too intense and there are better things to do with our capital like renting our money or building new homes and selling them to home owners.. But I realize BP has a lot of starter investors that just want to buy a rental or a few for long term investments.. And I think personally all the markets your in this can be done but I do recommend buying at the median home price and above for the out of area small investor to have the greatest chance of long term success.. 

 You have a weak stomach and just because you bought a bunch of properties wrong and hired the wrong people just goes to show you don't know how to buy in the asset class. Thanks expert. 

The whole point of this thread was to talk trash on Class D.  So I'm talking about the downsides of Class B+ and you primadonnas got all butt hurt cause you can't take the heat. If you can't operate in the "meat grinder", keep your opinions to yourself.

Anyway.. 

I'm done on this thread cause apparently going to someones profile and using personal attacks on people is tolerated. As I've been nothing but kind in my responses. I haven't called anyone the "S" word. I didn't go to anyone's profile and start making personal attacks. All I did was show that Stuarts properties don't make sense on paper, has a bad opinion on an asset class he doesn't own or understand, and he made a comment about if you just "build" them, you can win. Cause that's available for 99% of us. Lol

And yeah,  my profile is bare because I operate in an ugly asset class and people aren't very nice. Present company included. You keep trying to hurt my lil ol' feelings because I make money off something you can't.  sad :( face.  


I am not talking trash about D class heck I make a great living funding those that are in the D class buy hold model.. Many of my clients own 200 or more doors and I help them buy more  each and every week in cities  like Baltimore and Cleveland and KC  Toledo St. Lu Bham   etc etc.. The point of this thread though is its not for everyone and certainly very risky for folks that are not local and cant scale.. In fact I personally will not loan to anyone who is not local. I will consider those that have a local partner though.. I have clients like CA based tech folks that partner with a local and are building larger portfolios.. But one off no way.. 

As to the information on your Wall .  A lot of Folks on BP look at those not to dissect or criticizes but to sum up the veracity of the person giving advice on BP.. So no way to really know what you have or dont have etc etc.. I will let others also have thier own conclusion about that.. If you make D class work for you.. Good for you.. Its sorely needed.. I know in Baltimore for instance I am super proud of what I do there in the D class area with my two clients that each own well over 200 row houses as I stated.. I funding a 23 home package for one next week.. they are all shells al blighted on one block each will take at least 100k for the full gut rehab.. so there we are pumping 2.5 million in cash into the hood.. that is something that my client can be proud of and I am proud to be his capital partner.. 

then on the flip side you go to my 90 home new build Project in Oregon 750 to 1 mil each that I own and have been selling to owner occ and a lot of those folks are paying cash  U know empty nesters down sizing to very nice Single levels.. So its pretty wild  fund a home that can be bought for 10k then build 750k plus and we do some 2 mil plus builds in charleston SC. Kind of all over the map.. But I still go back to my roots at D class C class funding..

And just because I dont care to own them  like I said I had 300 at one time.. does not mean its bad for others to own that class.. The exception is the out of area going to buy one or two.. those folks I think take on more risk than they realize and would generally be better buying in a better neighborhood and asset class.. 

 Jay....your partners in the blighted areas, after they rehab those houses are there comps for them to appraise and refi out their cash? Seems like it could be difficult to get a place to appraise over $100k in bad areas 

Post: Subcontractors walked off the job and wont return . Heres why

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510
Quote from @Matthew Paul:
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Eric James:

Worth $2.3M and in a war zone. What type of property is this?


 That was my thought, I am putting a little doubt on this story - yes this happens in DC in SE and NE which there are not many $2.3M homes in that area unless its multiunit.


 Doubt all you want , I didnt ask the address, or the sq footage  , dont care . I was just glad his guys didnt get shot or killed . I do know the GC company name and the Electrical contractor , but wont put that out here ,  I did talk with lead on the job and he said he will quit before he goes back there .  The owner wont put his men back in that type of harm 

I believe you, but like the name or not, that's a war zone.

Post: Subcontractors walked off the job and wont return . Heres why

Eric JamesPosted
  • Investor
  • Malakoff, TX
  • Posts 2,279
  • Votes 2,510
Quote from @Matthew Paul:
Quote from @Eric James:

Worth $2.3M and in a war zone. What type of property is this?


 New construction , not in a war zone , Its just in DC . From what I have heard is criminals search out contractors , there can be big scores in their trucks . 


 New construction of what?