Originally posted by @Stephen Brown:
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
Originally posted by @Stephen Brown:
Hello All,
Here are some guidelines I found about researching a neighborhood.
- 1. If it is a mid-sized city, not a metro, you want to have a 20% population growth. If the population is larger than 1M, there should be a 15% growth, larger than 2M should have 10%
- 2. You want to see a 30% difference between median income between now and 20 years ago.
- 3. Median household or condo value should have a 40% increase between now and 20 years ago
- 4. Crime Numbers MUST be under on the decline
- 5. There should be Job Growth THIS YEAR (No one care about 3 years or 5 years) and small cities need to be scrutinized because maybe there is one strong employer
- 6. Invest in a block of town that has a larger population
- 7. Compare the median income to the median home value (600k median home value and 230k median income? No way!)
- 8. You should want a household Income in the neighborhood is between $40k and 70k
- 9. Median Contract Rent should be between $700 and $1000
- 10. Don’t invest in areas that have an unemployment rate of 2% higher than the nearest major city
What do you guys think of these guidelines? I've never invested before, but they seemed credible. However, I've noticed that there are no areas like this where I live.
I have questions for each one of your criteria. Actually, it's the same one for each question..."Why"? OK, I guess 2 questions. The second questions is also the same for all your criteria..."What does all of the individual criteria tell you"? Ok, maybe a third. "Does any of this criteria have a universal impact"?...and if the answer to that question is "no", then I repeat my first two questions...for each of the criteria.
There is no universal impact, you're right. Maybe I should just be looking at properties in any decent neighborhood. These individual criteria are suppose to tell me the neighborhoods to invest in that have high potential for growth; however, that argument could be made for any neighborhood. Do you have any suggestions? Thanks for your comment.
I Don't see any value in using numbers with % behind them when analyzing properties are markets...and of the two analysis, your market analysis is far more important. Percentages lie, and they tell you nothing concrete.
For instance:
1 - How important is the school district rating to a retired couple or a single person living alone? How much will this increase taxes in that market, and have no value to either of the two I just mentioned?
2 - How important is the local employment opportunities to a professional that will usually commute and/or work out of their home?
3 - Median rent collected is useless. Every market is different. The same house on the east or west coast can rent for twice that of the one in the midwest. For that matter, the same house in the same city half a mile away can be a different market, and have different rent...for the same house...and both make money.
4 - Household income levels are dependant on the same things as #3.
5 - Cost of living varies for the exact same properties in different markets. (see #3...again).
....actually, #3 says it all...or at least most of it.
You need to learn to analyze based on the numbers with $$$ in front as a series of spreads between what you put in (your cost) and what you get out (your profit) for flipping and/or holding. You need to learn how to do this for each and every strategy you can/will use in any and every market you analyze. REI in the end is really little more than applied math...with $$$ in front, not percentages behind.
To do this, you will need to learn how to do the following:
1 - Analyze Markets to tell you where to invest
2 - How Money Works. These are the strategies you will apply in these markets. They will tell you how to invest.
3 - How to design and stick to a true REI Plan. This tells you when to invest using #'s 1 and 2 above.
...and all three must work as one, with each equally depending on the other two for your success. Lacking in one or more will cost you time, money, and more...and you probably won't realize it.
Lastly (there' a lot more, but for now...), don't fall in love with any property. This means Never use words you find in RE agents brochures, like "large, beautiful, great, up and coming,...etc...".
OK, one more "lastly". Treat money as if it is a verb, not a noun. When it becomes a noun...you lose.
...and while you're at it, memorize this number sequence...and treat it as if it is the combination to great wealth...because it is.
1073741824