What does an inverted yield curve mean? Impending Recession?

[Josh Rogers]

What does an inverted yield curve mean? Impending Recession?   Any other signs recession/correction is coming?

[Eric Delcol]

@Mike M.

I researched this about a year ago prior to inversion.

For certain, it means short term rates pay higher than long term. That in itself is unsustainable so something will change.

Some predict that it is an indication of recession - however, per IBD, the last 8 times this has occurred 4 times resulted in recession, 2 times the market remained flat for over several years, and 2 times the market continued with a bull run.

A predictor that SOMETHING will change - yes. A crystal ball it is not.