We're not talking SF-over-the-last-10-years appreciation, but I'm interested in predictable investment returns, not gambling.

Looking for help predicting expenses (like maint/cap, insurance, cleaning, management, etc.) and revenue (I've computed my own rental season curve, but I'd love someone to validate that for me).What I'm looking at is an MLS duplex that *I think* would rent for a total of $4300/wk at peak, at a least price of $519K.Thanks,Chaz

As you know, we have a very thorough tenant screening and background check but we cannot predict the future of a tenant.

I was caught in that problem and it is such a headache that I could not have predicted.

If you are buying and holding it is a smart plan to use a fixed loan product in order to have stable, predictable income. 

Obviously, I don't subscribe to the mantra that you can't predict price appreciation.

You can’t predict the behavior of 4000 people.

They're not renting for as much as Memphis Invest predicted.

Dividends (such as they are) are pretty predictable. 

My main concern, quite frankly, isn't the cost, but rather their inability to predict my market or the lack thereof and how to truly overcome a terrible income disparity where I currently live.