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I see a slow slog downward until we hit the balance point mostly because the rates will remain elevated 6%+ for another year at least.

The current owner has a rockstar interest rate due to a physician's loan.

What is your prediction on rental rates and multifamily property values in your market over the next year? 

From my experience I would avoid it as a seller unless I was getting a large down payment, a larger purchase price, or a higher than market interest rate. 

If they have no cash your taking a huge risk on a ground up new build. and for that you would want to get a standby rate of interest like I do say 10% and I would charge 50% of the upside profit.. if they are putting cash into it..  3 to 4 points and 10 to 15% interest is market.and you give them money in draws as work is completed..

To the degree, one is realistic, the probability of finding a replacement property increase.Say you want to sell a fourplex to trade into and buy via 1031 a 20 unit apartment building.And the market cap rate is 6% but you want to buy something that offers a 6.5% cap rate, you probably won’t be able to find it.

I'm in the position to apply(depending on lender DTI requirement) for conventional financing through the builder at <6% interest rate in this current market.

. - 6% cap rate reflects a nice safe part of Los Angeles, California, a prudent investment, not one that will make anyone rich overnight, but a place that higher net worth individuals park wealth to preserve it (imagine the depreciation write-off). 6% cap rate also tells us, right off the bat, that we're going to be in the ballpark of 60% LTV.- We will stipulate that this is hypothetical. 

Rentometer: This tool helps you determine rental rates by comparing them to local listings.