It's based generally off macro economic events which allows it to be somewhat predictable.

v=nGz6fHdxP30my mom called from nyc 5am pacific this morn, to ask is the huge quake hit us here in socal.. she didnt know but i threw on the laptop and went to see whats going on.. apparently a prediction's going viral based on some planetary aligment happening; a dutch dude interpreting some Nostradamus predictions into a 9.8M(!)

Population is predicted to increase 30% for SoCal by 2030.

Taz:I believe you have coined a phrase, and a very good phrase it is: "The Government Bubble".If you would expand that into book form I predict you will have a bestseller, and I will happily order an advance copy.Seriously, think about it.

Ultra lame and completely predictable and I'm sure you've heard it before. 

What if, in 10 years, interest rate is suddenly back to 20% as in the 80's, what then, would you foreclose as people are predicting the apartments on bridge loans will do in the coming weeks since their potential new interest has "doubled" and their rents stay the same or falling and many have no reserve funds?

What happened to FRC is so predictable.

There's been a window where that was possible, but no one could have predicted what real estate was going to do the past couple years and still can't predict what will happen in the next couple years. 

If you hit all the numbers exactly as you predict your Cash on Cash return in year 1 is .88 percent.  

IDK, it might make an interesting (and predictable) movie, but it would suck as a real-life situation that YOU will have to deal with.