Just getting the pre-work to get permits is taking what I'll predict nearly 12 mo;  survey, architect, structural eng THEN permits THEN demo THEN framers.   

., I am not an economist and I can't predict the future, but I would look at the anticipated federal funds rate increases in 2022 as a starting point.

The more data you have the better your predictive model pricing is

My main goal is to build high quality, predictable passive income streams for the long term.  

It is very hard to predict tomorrows value in this current market.

Nbody can predict that.

(When we are wrong...its not a little wrong its usually off by a lot from things we cannot predict.)Using the Normal Distribution (Normal Bell Curve)Normal PERT= (Optimistic Value + Expected Value*4 + Pessimist Value) / 6 = (.8 + 1*4 + 6)/6 = 10.8/6 = Planned Value of 1.8 Weeks*I use this if residual risk is lowNegatively Skewed PERT  = (Optimistic Value + Expected Value*3 + Pessimist Value*2) / 6 = (.8 + 1*3 + 6*2)/6 = 15.8/6 = Planned Value of 2.63*I use this if if the residual risk is mediumVery Negatively Skewed PERT= (Optimistic Value + Expected Value*2 + Pessimist Value*3) / 6= (.8 + 1*2 + 6*3)/6 = 20.8/6= Planned Value of 3.46*I use this if if the residual risk is mediumIn my professional life this approach has served me very well. 

And this was for a long term rental that only cash flows a couple hundred dollars every month...In your case, you're still predicting substantial monthly cash flow.

I would classify this type of thing under "Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt" or "FUD" which these days serves more to generate clicks and views than it does to accurately predict the future movements of any market or asset.No matter what happens, people will need a decent, safe place to live.

I assume the “consensus” is that Houston market will be 5-30% more expensive a year from now and ZERO people are predicting prices will be 18% lower in a year.