.📈 Interest Rates UpdateMortgage rates remained steady above 7% this week.For context:2017–2021 rates: 3.65%–4.87%Pre-pandemic average: 4.16%While today’s rates are higher, Las Vegas home prices continue to rise.

All while home prices are slowly rising. 

There were at least 5 individuals who seemed ready to rise to the occasion and help this poster with their borrowing needs.

In a rapidly-rising interest rate environment (such as we've recently experienced) that tradeoff may or may not pay off.Unfortunately, in CRE finance there is no perfect financing vehicle and you can't eliminate risk--you must choose which risk you want.

If you’re using leverage, be extra cautious with your underwriting to ensure the deal still works at today’s rates.Economic Uncertainty: Inflation, potential recessions, or shifts in demand could affect rents, vacancy rates, and property values in some markets.Increased Operating Costs: Rising insurance premiums, property taxes, and maintenance costs can cut into profit margins, particularly for buy-and-hold investments.Regulatory Risks: Some areas are increasing restrictions on landlords, particularly short-term rentals.

It's crucial to evaluate how the deal performs with the new mortgage:Updated Financials After Refinancing: Market Value: $250,000 Mortgage Amount (80% LTV): $200,000 Equity: $50,000 Interest Rate: 5% (30-Year Amortization) Assuming after 12months the rate will drop from 6% to 5%Monthly Expenses: Mortgage Payment: $1,074 Property Tax: $260 (4% Adjustment from last year) Utilities: $309 (+3% Adjustment) Insurance: $104 (+4% Adjustment) Vacancy: $105 Repairs & Maintenance: $105 (now after 12 months we can assume we have repairs at 5% factor on annual rent) Total Monthly Expenses: $1,957Rent Income after 12 months assuming annual rent increase at 5% : $2,100Cash Flow: $143 per month 😊Year 2 Return on investment $2,951 Principal Paydown year 2 $20,000 Property Appreciation (assuming 8% per year) $1,720 Yearly Cash Flow (this will increase as rents rise) $50,000 Initial Equity Total Gain $74,671 with just $ $22,789 remaining in the deal. 

I am unconvinced that the new administration will meaningfully address the deficit and US credit will continue to erode gradually, contributing to rising rates.

These tenants ahve all of the signs of never paying you or paying a little as their balance continues to rise.

It is primarily over the high and sharp rise in interest rates we've been experiencing.

High level local impacts are rising rents from Santa Barbara to San Diego and high demand for luxury purchases.