Here's the rub, you should insure anything you can afford by yourself and can rely on with any predictability.

I have seen Fred Foldvarys predictions on the market cycle, with growth being from 2012 to 2022.

I've been in the biz since 2002 and pretty much predicted it all easily 1 year before the last crash, love to hear others thoughts on what we may see.

Does the market have a positive or negative forcast predicted for home values?

Last but not least I love the fact that you can actually measure and predict returns in ways that are far easier than the stock market. 

Are you saying that you are confident as a newbie that you will be able to predict the monthly income and expenses every month within $100-$200 (your cash flow)?

@Hadar OrkibiTo add to what @Ben Leybovich wrote, the main value of GRM is to predict what a property will appraise for in a 2 to 4 unit.

As mentioned, Raytown is a relatively stable and predictable area, as far as property values go. 

Just wondering if there's any way for me to predict if they might jump ship on me.

Taxpayers and consulting professionals should consider this strategy if they or their clients want to defer federal and state capital gain and recaptured depreciation taxes, prefer a more diversified asset portfolio and/or more predictable income stream, and choose not to acquire like-kind replacement property.