I did look future prediction of crime rates through some gov and other websites but I could not find any predictions 2) Good point.

Two predictions that I found interesting were included in the Fitch Report.

Then, knowing you estimated future value and the current price, you can calculate the appreciation rate.Better to just look at current cash flow and assume the future in unpredictable.Read "The Black Swan" to get an idea of the futility of trying to make predictions.

Who could have predicted 2005 prices in 1995?

It’s some economists’ predictions on what we can expect to happen over the next several years.

The only draw back to the cards is not being able to predict the future.

The buyers have to know what their predicted loan balance is before they buy.

The predictions for my area for example are less then half of the two previous years.If you know you won't be holding the property long term, better sell this year.

By the way I read this part:"I predict you could purchase this home and sell it around $170,000 after completing $20,000 in repairs"Beware of that statement.

However Other that "forced appreciation" appreciation is difficult to predict and is a function of market cycles and inflation.