got out of flipping to new construction in our market in columbus ohio. licensed general contractor. when interest rates got high single family existing went down by 30% new builds sold at a 6% increase that year which demonstrated the desire and premium that new construction commands. never looking back. total control, rinse and repeat. we can get permits in 28 days. we can buy land cash in 21 days. we can build in 120 days to 140 days and keep moving. super scalable and easy and no risk. we build the same 2-3 Floorplans 

I will be sure to increase my rice in the future!

And while I agree that debt is often the cheapest form of capital, if you are looking at a project that involves some form of value-add business plan, you can always refi either when rates come down or you have increased the yield on the asset to exceed your interest rate.But like Stuart noted, for many groups, even the most seasoned syndicators, raising call cash for their deals is effectively impossible.  

Peter Lohmann’s newsletter is a solid source for staying on top of national trends; I’d recommend subscribing if you haven’t already.In Texas, I’ve noticed increased activity, especially in the Dallas-Fort Worth area.

This has actually increased our bookings. 

HELOC Basics:A revolving credit line secured by your home’s equityLow interest rates, but often variableDraw period (5-10 years) → Repayment period (10-20 years)✅ Pros: Lower interest than other loans, flexible access to funds, potential tax benefits⚠ Cons: Home is collateral, payments may increase, short repayment termWhen It Makes Sense:The rental property cash flows enough to cover HELOC paymentsYou borrow conservatively (avoid over-leveraging)You have a backup plan in case of market shiftsSafer Alternatives:Save a larger down paymentConsider seller financingPartner with another investorFinal ThoughtsWith your timeline set for November 2025, take time to research markets, build connections, and plan financing wisely.📌 Key Takeaways:Out-of-state investing can work but requires a solid local team.Use online tools like BiggerPockets, Rentometer, and Roofstock for analysis.A HELOC can help, but be mindful of risks and repayment terms.

Not only for the census ending in 2020 but also the projected population from 2020 to 2025.I agree that population increase is important and should be factored in when analyzing a property. 

It would actually be a net PROFIT given the huge increase to tax revenues. 

Would your existing tenants stomach that much of an increase?

Eventually, Class A property values increased to the point that even increasing rents didn't allow them to cashflow upon purchase.So, the flood of new investors switched to buying Class B properties.