Also reality is the only time you will get nailed for not managing deposits properly is if you use that money.

:Class A Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 3-5 years for positive cashflow, but you get highest relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% the more recent norm.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 680+ (roughly 5% probability of default), zero evictions in last 7 years.Class B Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, decent amount of relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% should be applied only if proper research done to support.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 620-680 (around 10% probability of default), some blemishes, but should have no evictions in last 5 yearsClass C Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, high cashflow and at the lower end of relative rent & value appreciation.

Take ownership of your mistake and learn to do the proper due diligence recommended above😊

Keep in mind, though, if you just sell outright, you could be looking at capital gains and depreciation recapture, so it’s worth crunching the numbers with a proper tax professional (I’m not one, by the way).What do you think the rest of the community has seen happen to property values since last year, and do you believe it changes the 1031 conversation?

that we’ve learned in our 24 years, managing almost 700 doors across the Metro Detroit area, including almost 100 S8 leases:Class A Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 3-5 years for positive cashflow, but you get highest relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% the more recent norm.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 680+ (roughly 5% probability of default), zero evictions in last 7 years.Class B Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, decent amount of relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% should be applied only if proper research done to support.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 620-680 (around 10% probability of default), some blemishes, but should have no evictions in last 5 yearsClass C Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, high cashflow and at the lower end of relative rent & value appreciation.

The other one is not in California, quit W2 at age 37 scaled from 2014 to 2021 with 5 duplexes, quit W2 during COVID, lives a frugal lifestyle and benefitted from the huge increase in property values and low interest rates. 

I disagree with your sentiment about a bull market correlating to my genius I just manage risk properly with a model I have ran for years and in the past month / month and a half have made almost another 100,000.

I notice you didn't say you'd actually seen the tenant's policy.Are they properly licensed?

If you've already reached that end - ie if $4 million is enough principal to create residual income that you won't outlive - then I don't see any good reason to be buying out-of-town properties that then have to be managed properly to preserve your investment. 

Take ownership of your mistake and learn to do the proper due diligence recommended above😊