Also, there's usually more predictability on the timeline.

.* A fixed rate mortgage means that your costs are predictable.* The interest and property tax on the mortgage are tax deductible.

The money is getting pushed out to Tacoma and Everett now.The PNW could get knocked down again like it did in 2008 for reasons not specific to this market but no one really knows or can predict that.

My one hesitation would be if you could reasonably predict, due to some obvious market factor that the property may keep increasing, then you may want to hold on to it.

I even pocket the cash flow because we concluded we cannot predict rent collections and amount, so instead of going 50/50, if there's negative cash flow, I cover, if it's positive, I get to keep it.

Whenever a new MLS listing is posted, a price change, or a property sold, I automatically get an email notification.This helps me have a pulse on everything that is going on in my market, so I can much more intuitively predict the ARV in certain neighborhoods.

None of the dire predictions came true.So who knows?

My point is I think that it is incredibly hard to predict what the housing market will do and how long it will last.

Beyond credentials of the developer and great market research, what do experienced people think are the key variables to look at for whether a deal is likely to perform as predicted? 

Many Note Buyers will consider the Payor’s credit score closely because it can help predict the note’s potential for foreclosure.