Another is because it’s hard to evaluate the financial strength of an HOA and therefore hard to predict wether fees will be stable or repairs and maintenance performed.

I've been following his computer model's predictions for everything from real estate to precious metals to stock markets for over a decade.

Of course, we can't predict the future, but people are always going to need housing. 

I was wondering whether it will be a smart move to buy another one in 92130/31 zip code under 1 million (as i it needs to be atleast 2000 sqft and SFR) and get a low interest rate and rent out the Del Sur property.The only thing that bothers me is if i buy something around 1million and putting 20% down payment even though i can afford the loan and have a job security for atleast 5 years( cross my fingers and can't predict job security beyond 5 years), i am hesitant to get into bigger mortgage as i want to retire early let say in another 10 years and a bigger mortgage(around 800K) may turn out to be a bad decision.Regards,namal

You can’t predict all maintenance issues, but I could reduce the short and medium term risks.

With that said, keep in mind notes are very unpredictable and it's almost impossible predicting the outcome.

But I can't predict the future.

So I predict, when the next recession hits, there will be a glut of entry-level single-family homes for sale, which will push values and prices down disproportionately.

Not to mention that city took their sweet time to approve new plans and permits (as some have predicted).   

I predict the vacation rental market will cool significantly in the Asheville area over the next five years primarily due to an insanely sharp increase in available rentals (we're already seeing significant softening of demand) , and will then tank if we get a recession.