Until we see 6 month of inventory, 25+% of listings expire without a sale and the average sale taking 150 days or more you don't have the ingredients for a market crash defined as more than a 5% correction.Will we see corrections like in Austin, where an exuberance of appreciation sorts itself out?

However, investing is a bit like cooking; cash flow is just one of the ingredients needed to keep things moving, but it’s important to consider other factors to make it a tasty dish.

I am not sure what I would pick as the most important ingredient, rather it is an overall recipe that will get results.

I learned that in order for my investing business to be successful I needed three important ingredients: (1) Money (2) Quality contractors (3) Off market properties.That led me to concentrated on finding deals that the numbers worked within, even with rates at 12%+ and up to 4 points for short-term money, and in areas where quality contractors wanted to do work.

I think you're missing a key ingredient: how much time do you have to earn your 20%?

Gypsum-   Main ingredient in Drywall.  

However, like I said, if I were to actually carry out the strategy I basically "back-of-the-enveloped" this morning, I would add some ingredient involving greater effort and greater likely profit, such as short-term rentals, to guarantee positive cashflow.Let's look at the position a hypothetical investor like OP would be in if she actually bought 13 multi-family properties like the ones I described.

But notice, you need very specific series of ingredients to have it make sense. 

Sounds like one of the ingredients of your recipe is a redesign/update.

quinoa vegetable soup, and it was was filling (and dare I say, cheap.. must have cost me ~$3.50 for all the ingredients).