I expect 30% turnover in a given year, but have seen it surge as high as 48%.

We've been fortunate that it has been outperforming the expected 7% year over year. 

Where we expected to gross between $30-40k, we are grossing $60k and generating around $2000 per month in cash flow.

@Rafael Valdor some advice when screening PMCs-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Recommend exploring as many sources as possible to get referrals AND cross-reference them to get as much accurate information as possible.Check out NARPM.com, BP’s Property Manager Finder (BiggerPockets: The Real Estate Investing Social Network), etc.Also, encourage you to learn from the mistakes of others - by reading posts here on BiggerPockets about owners not having their expectations met by their current Property Management Company.

In Illinois, when an agent does that, there are functions normally expected of the realtor that they are legally prohibited from doing.

Positive Home Value Growth ForecastWhile the pace of home value appreciation is expected to moderate, Zillow forecasts a 2.8% increase in Buffalo’s home values for 2025, indicating continued market strength.In summary, Buffalo’s combination of strong job growth, relative affordability, limited housing inventory, strategic location, and positive home value forecasts solidify its status as the nation’s hottest housing market for 2025.

What is your expected appreciation and what is the data to back that up (e.g. how confident are you in you answer)?

Realistically you would expect the house to continue to appreciate during that time as well... even if at 3.33% appreciation - that is another $50,000 in appreciation you would make in the 3 years - give or take.  

Quote from @Kody Smith: without getting too deep into my finances, what my strategy is...1. take loans to buy properties (leverage)2. fix/flip for day to day cash flow income3. use some of the fix/flip income to buy consistent cash flow through:- business acquisition, - commercial properties (MF and store fronts),I have no intention of doing ALL of the management myself, I will hire management as needed (medium term goal)my expected core role is money provider, evaluating the numbers, making decisions, and connecting with investors, wholesalers, lenders, contractors, and property owners.while I am just on step 2 of the journey, I am looking toward step 3 to stabilize, and not worry about if house prices drop mid project or not (or not worry as much) So to be fair this is more about obtaining and growing a real estate business not simply buying rentals for cashflow.

@Henry T. its like despite what these policy makers do, housing costs and homelessness sky rockets.In NYS the HSTPA got passed.