Quote from @Christie Gahan:
Hi Grant:
Ignore everyone else.
We have come out of a period of velocity that was crazy. Cheap money, multiple offers. Economic conditions have changed.
Let's be clear. Folks that made a lot of money from 2019 to 2023 had Perfect Economic conditions. They made money and I am happy for them. But, that is not a flex. It is so cringe.
People have made some "Change Your Life " money. But, it only changes your life if you keep it!
Listen carefully to what people say. " My portfolio is worth ten million" does not mean the same thing as " I manage a portfolio worth ten million dollars." This does not mean "My net worth is ten million dollars".
"My portfolio is worth ten million." Okay. This could be true. At the same time, it could also be true that your portfolio is worth ten million and you owe twelve million. This would mean you are negative two million. Not good. Or it could have negative cash flow.
"I manage a portfolio worth ten million." Okay. This could be true. At the same time, do you own any of it? "I manage" does not mean that you own anything.
"My net worth is ten million." Okay. This could be true. This would mean that all of your assets ( stocks, bonds, real estate) is worth A. Subtract all debt. ( IRS debt, mortgage debt, student loans) If the amount left over is ten million then you would have a net worth of ten million. Great! But, can they prove it?
Focus on the Quality of the Deal not the number of deals.
Best of Luck!
I think I speak for everyone who was actively investing from 2019 to 2023 when I say that you are way off base here. These were not "perfect economic conditions." In fact, I don't think such a thing exists but for the sake of argument here are a few things you seem to fail to appreciate the gravity of.
My company laid of 20% of its staff in March 2020.
An ungodly amount of in person services closed their doors leaving their staff (our rental pool) scrambling to pay the bills.
Local governments shut down schools leaving mothers and fathers (ourselves and our rental pool) scrambling for childcare.
Local governments put a moratorium on evictions for non paying tenants
Small businesses who didn't fraudulently apply for PPP loans took a bath for years.
The list goes on and on. The people who survived 2019 - 2023 did so through unprecedented conditions. You owe them the respect they've earned. It may look good to you in hindsight, but if you moved through the weeds as I did, you'd have a very different appreciation and a much less cavalier attitude.
The lesson here is that you will always face obstacles as a RE investor. Your longevity in this business will live and die with your ability to adapt. Sure, some of us made a ton of money through this period. But some of us were wiped out entirely. I'll bet dollars to doughnuts that the ones who survived don't consider this period "perfect economic conditions." FFS