Quote from @Brian Kehoe:
In the current market with the prices of homes being so high does it still make sense to be investing in real estate or to be accumulating cash and waiting to see where the market goes? I’ve been reading articles stating how baby boomers are starting to retire and selling their businesses at a discount. I’ve been researching businesses for sale and many look profitable on paper. My question is in the current market would buying a high cash flow business where I can be an absentee owner be a better decision then investing in real estate now? My thought process is make the cash now and invest in real estate later but I’d love to hear anybody else’s insight.
If you have the ability to manage managers, then for the next decade you will have the opportunity to buy out retiring Boomers in whatever industry you like. Maybe 6-8 months ago, I would have answered like Don, but I spent a day with an investor in one of my solar farm projects and I was absolutely floored.
He has been buying businesses owned by aging Boomers, and the TAM (Total Available Market) for him is huge. Think about it. "
10K a day" of Boomers retire, and many of the "S" type business owners really
didn't develop a plan for how to exit their business. Lately he has bought local restaurant businesses, primarily, but also apartment buildings, land, MHPs, and other commercial properties.
So, I'd encourage you to pursue business acquisition if you have the skills to manage managers. The best example I can think of is this. I met a guy in the 1990s who owned a Jersey Mike's franchise. He was an "owner occupied" franchise in that he was owner/manager/worker. I went there several times weekly. But he wasn't there after a few months. Maybe two years later, we (my W-2 working colleagues in the 1990s) saw him. He recognized us and we talked for an hour. He had 6 or 8 stores. He rotated between them,
managing the managers. He wasn't buying out people, but rather expanding the franchise opportunities.
Fast forward to now, and there is an incredible opportunity to buy out old folks like me. Aging Boomers have developed fantastic businesses, but they are old. Health, focus, will, and determination, along with a lot of other factors, will make Boomers want to exit.
They need a buyer. Many times there is no one there. And the more motivated the seller is, the more willing the seller will negotiate terms and price.
So, my answer is, to your conclusion "
My thought process is make the cash now and invest in real estate later..." I agree, if you can
manage the manager.