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All Forum Posts by: Victor S.

Victor S. has started 14 posts and replied 1187 times.

Post: Buying a home with friends tip #1

Victor S.Posted
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#1 tip is *drum roll* : Don't do it!

Post: 7.62 Interest rate and SO MANY POINTS

Victor S.Posted
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Quote from @Marcus Auerbach:
Quote from @Victor S.:
Quote from @Marcus Auerbach:

 Technically (based on negative GDP) we are in a recession; but without mass lay-off's it's doesn't feel like the right label. The third option is possible, but not forever. The FED is trying and will continue until it ultimately succeeds, may just be a while. Sucking money out of the system takes time, just as much as "printing" does. At some point companies will be forced to reduce production, then reduce employment - then we are in a recession that feels like one..

Investors benefit from inflation, so does the US government and anyone else who has USD debt. Provided we see wages go up. I think it's just over 5% at the moment, hopefully we are going to see more of that in 2023, that's ultimately what allows rent growth.

jobs are a lagging indicator.

 Correct. And they will be lagging for a while: we have 11 million open jobs and 6 million unemployed, that's a first...  But, what's your point?


just answering your "it doesn't feel like we're in one based on the data" question.

Post: 7.62 Interest rate and SO MANY POINTS

Victor S.Posted
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  • Posts 1,222
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Quote from @Marcus Auerbach:

 Technically (based on negative GDP) we are in a recession; but without mass lay-off's it's doesn't feel like the right label. The third option is possible, but not forever. The FED is trying and will continue until it ultimately succeeds, may just be a while. Sucking money out of the system takes time, just as much as "printing" does. At some point companies will be forced to reduce production, then reduce employment - then we are in a recession that feels like one..

Investors benefit from inflation, so does the US government and anyone else who has USD debt. Provided we see wages go up. I think it's just over 5% at the moment, hopefully we are going to see more of that in 2023, that's ultimately what allows rent growth.

jobs are a lagging indicator.

Post: 7.62 Interest rate and SO MANY POINTS

Victor S.Posted
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Quote from @Aaron Gordy:

@Heath Watson He seems to be in a cash crunch and doesn't have time to deal with it since he has kids in sports and 2 businesses going on. You should not start at 100k..but 91k. See if he would be interested in a wrap which will allow you to go in way cheaper than 15% down and those expensive points


sounds like a load of b.s. to me. why not finish it for $20k and collect the big check instead of selling it to the OP for what you owe? what sense does that make?

Post: USING ALL OF OUR SAVINGS TO BUY STR

Victor S.Posted
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Quote from @John Morgan:
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @John Morgan:

@Shannon Smith

I went out on a limb 7 years ago when I was in a situation like yours. I spent every penny I had in savings to buy a STR. It was my first property and it was risk I was willing to take. It paid off and I've been able to grow quite a bit from putting all the earnings from that purchase back into savings, then buying more and more properties with the earnings. So I say go for it! Good luck!!


 Every Casino across the nation has hundreds of people who hit that jackpot, followed by tens of thousands a day who didn't. 

You risked it all, in a high risk situation, and won.     Where thousands who try the same, reap the odd's and fail at great cost.    It is neglectful and dangerous to direct all to step into a casino and risk it all, because a very few will win. 

The odd's of financial failure and ruin are very high, with odd's of wining exceptionally low. 

Most investors I buy out there portfolios at pennies on the dollar due to a default situation, sing the same song; how once upon a time they risked it all and it came out ok, even a few more times sometimes, until it didn't, and ruined them. 

I have a W2 and would have been able to tap into Roth IRAs if necessary if something bad happened. Some people aren’t ok with taking risk and some are. As long as you have a plan B or C in case things go south, I think it’s ok to take some risk. 

i mean, he even used all caps to tell us that's everything he's got, so there is not plan B, let alone C. 

Post: 7.62 Interest rate and SO MANY POINTS

Victor S.Posted
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too many unknowns. judging by the monthly rent per side, this appears to be a C are at best. are you prepared to be a landlord, or are you going to outsource to a PM for at least 10%/month? if this was such a banging deal, why are they coming to you? the color scheme tells me this was/is a flipper's house. so what happened to them? did they go bust or did they find something that they wan to offload to a sucker like you? (no offense)

even if everything checks out, the 20k "estimate" to complete the other side was pulled out of your behind. i'd triple and quadruple check the numbers with actual contractors (if you can still find those), unless you're going to be doing a diy on it yourself (then double your timeline without cash flow on that side). your mind is overshadowed by potential success without giving any consideration to what can go south on this and quickly. the outrageous financing alone should give you a pause. in the end, you'll be out $45k-50k cash (best case scenario) to cash flow $100/mo? (if not negative, as your piti will be around 700-800/mo) forget about that "ARV" also. with the way things are looking right now, those are not real numbers either.

all this to not discourage you, but to come to the table prepared for the twists and turns that are surely going to be there waiting for you.

Post: USING ALL OF OUR SAVINGS TO BUY STR

Victor S.Posted
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Re:"USING ALL OF OUR SAVINGS TO BUY STR"

NOT A GOOD IDEA

Post: Sold a flip home, but new owner keeps calling

Victor S.Posted
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big mistake on coming out and "fixing" the other stuff before. you're setting a precedent here. should have never picked their calls up after the sale was complete. 

Post: Update on the current pathetic condition of the IRS

Victor S.Posted
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Quote from @Michael Plaks:
Quote from @Victor S.:

got an email from paypal last week. they will start reporting any goods/services transactions over $600/year to IRS. IRS loves nothing more than to squeeze the little guy just a tad more. 


This was done by Congress, not the IRS. And you were always supposed to report all your income, with or without 1099s.

I agree that this reporting provision is awful, but not because it's "squeezing the little guy" - it's awful because of the massive confusion and double reporting it will create if not overturned. Let's hope it will get removed.


irs is the entity that is empowered by congress to collect taxes, so is your argument then we need to start hatin' on the .gov? no argument from me there.

Post: Update on the current pathetic condition of the IRS

Victor S.Posted
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got an email from paypal last week. they will start reporting any goods/services transactions over $600/year to IRS. IRS loves nothing more than to squeeze the little guy just a tad more.