Don't jump in to something just to jump in to something. Be at least somewhat confident that you are going to pull some cash flow and plan your exit. You want REI to enrich your life and not drag it down. With that said, Boise is a boom or bust town. This town has a history of feast or famine. Boise's wave has gone tidal wave and the influx of people moving here has spiked demand in SFR's. Be cautious. When properties are routinely selling in a day over asking, that is indicator of a imbalance in the market. I am now focusing on finding off-market deals because short of developing raw land, it is the only place that I see opportunity in Boise proper. I also believe that purchase prices have spiked so rapidly here that rents haven't had time to catch up.
Generally speaking, I have a pretty good pulse on this area, have done a lot of research, and discussed this market in detail with a lot of contractors and RE developers in Boise. Here are some key market indicators:
- Idaho is the fastest growing state by population
- Idaho was 1st in construction job growth since 2016
- Idaho has the 4th lowest construction unemployment
- Idaho has a construction unemployment rate of 2.9% which is the lowest ever recorded
- Boise Metro has 1.7-months of SFR Inventory, 4 to 6-months is equilibrium
- Boise Metro average rent is $1,101, and average purchase price $277k
If you are a average retail buyer, according to the law of averages, you are falling at a .4% Rule. Haha! Cash flow is king. Speculation is gambling, especially in a high stakes game in a high stakes market. I'm cautiously optimistic but will remain cautious because deals are 'relative' as related to their respective market, and this market is tighter then the skin on an apple.