Hey BP,
I am looking at a duplex in a desirable area of Sacramento, wanted some deal analysis:
Story is a guy in Oregon owns it and built it out from a three bed single family to a duplex with 2190 sq feet. It now has a 2/1 and a 4/2, but they are some tiny rooms... Ran out of cash or didnt want to finish the build, and is selling. Wholesaler I met has it under contract for two more weeks. Asking 200k.
turned down 180k cash offer already (supposedly)
I did a walk of the outside with the wholesaler and peered in the windows. Partial new siding and windows around the house, new framing and studs, part of a kitchen and part of two bathrooms completed and thats it. Its basically completely gutted to the studs.
Had my realtor pull comps within a 5 mile radius. 5 duplexes sold within the last year ranging from 300-400k. most were two 2/1 or at most 2/2. But the actual street location may have been better, it is a good area but on a busy street.
My best conservative guess for ARV is 340-350. could be higher.
Had a contractor recommended by an investor approximate 80,000 for finished rehab. that leaves 60-70 on the table. he got to that number by seeing pictures and telling me a new build from studs is about $40 per sq foot.
Rentometer evaluations lead me to believe the 2/1 could rent for 900-950, and the 4/2 could go for 1300-1400 (potentially 1500) in that area. so....
flip: 200k cost 80k rehab (100k with perimeter work) 10K holding costs and fees potentially all in 300? ARV 340-350 as a rental aprox 2300 a month 280k mortgage at 4.5 is 1,450 a month self managed 25% down is 70k cash not sure on taxes or insurance but seems to work should cash flow at least 300 a month. Other considerations as I see it:
holding costs for complete rebuild may be longer, up to 3 or 4 months?
80k rehab does not cover outside the building, and the yard is a complete mess. a lot of concrete would need to be poured, new fence required, landscaping and grass needed, and as of now no where for anyone to park (old garage got turned into bedrooms) Not sure how much that would influence vacancy or value.
They have permitting that expires in August, but he mentioned something about a failed inspection for the permit and that it needs to be refiled (Not sure what that means exactly)
Very strange floor plan, not sure what the original owner was thinking with the layout, like he got greedy with the number of bed/bath.
anyways, thats what i put together so far. Hows it look to you guys? this is definitely not a simple rehab or deal to put together, and has a lot of little nuances that may get me in trouble.