Originally posted by @Darin Knight:
@joel g thanks for the post. I'm in a somewhat similar situation. Decent 401k, good equity in a few properties and honestly wondering if doubling down is the right way to go. You (we) are doing great as is working for the man. We need an exit strategy, but would like the $3M number to hit first. How to get there? I don't have the answer only more questions. Are you planning significant leverage to get you out of the rat race?
Hi Darin,
We drove through Portland once on our way to Canada and wished we had had more time to spend there...so green and lush, slightly rainy that day...the EXACT opposite of where we grew up...so VERY appealing indeed!
It is comforting to hear that we are not the only ones in a situation like this. We have some ideas about our future...but they have actually changed as our kids are getting older.
Our son is finishing his nursing degree and should be working by years end, a lucrative endeavor in Northern California. And our daughter is finishing her masters degree in business and has recently applied for several jobs with baseball teams for entry level management positions, something she has always dreamed of doing.
The reason I mention the kids is that now that they are spreading their wings and are starting to leave the nest...Tammy and I are finding that it may be possible for us to branch out to areas we never thought would be available to us at all in the past.
Our original idea was to go to find a mid market size city c universities/airports/etc. that has growth potential, try to find some A/B type neighborhoods, buy some fixers/flip'em or hold'em (depending on the situation) and then move on to the next area as the market dictates.
Now, however, we are finding that we may be able to do some of that without necessarily leaving our jobs (which would greatly enhance our financing prospects on projects...say that three times fast)...so now we may be changing gears a bit.
As far as leverage goes...we are willing to do some but would prefer not to bet the entire farm. I don't mind having properties financed at all...that is not my worry.
For example, if I can find a fixer for $120k + $30k renovations that has an ARV of say $200k then (according to the 70%rule) I slightly overpaid for the property but as far as having a loan on the property vs actual value of the property (sale price anyway) I feel at least somewhat protected if the market falls...especially if it is a long term hold anyway...I personally feel almost all markets bounce back over time....BUT if we paid retail for the property and rely on the cash flow...forget it...I would never get a nights rest for fear of owing $200k on a property worth $150k and for $200-300 cash flow...not for me...but I appreciate how some have the stomach for that game...being mortgaged to the hilt and pressing their bets at all times that is....just very dangerous at our age 46 & 48...I'd love to retire someday and see more of this beautiful planet!
Tammy and I lived in San Diego from 1996-2008 and saw the carnage that can happen when those games are played...we lived in a solid "A" neighborhood with amazing schools that went from high living to graffiti on the walls and cops at the schools daily for drugs/weapons/violence/gangs/you-name-it. We chose not to purchase in 2004 (could've made a mint on that house alone $239k that eventually sold for $550k) but the writing was already on the wall of what was coming down the road...that house honestly wasn't even worth $239k...our small jack Russell would paw at the back door and (literally) shake the front door of the house...so we stayed as renters during that time...missed the ride up...but also avoided the chaos on the way down...that was a bad time for lots of folks. The reason I mention it is we (and sounds like maybe you guys as well) want to avoid that kind of situation as much as possible...which is the reason that we were thinking of looking into markets that have not had the run up of say North Dakota, our SF Bay Area, etc.
You guys are in an interesting place though!! Portland is on everyone's list as hot new growth area, great jobs and has high life satisfaction...at least the last time I checked anyway. And if you guys would have the OU Ducks lay off everyone a bit on the football field...I mean really, do the guys have to kick everyone's *** year after year...my Longhorns need some of those players! So tell the coach to chill out a bit and give some others a chance...really...call him and tell him that.
I like our (your and our) prospects going forward and would love to keep in touch with you about your plans. Maybe together we can figure out a great path that we can later share with our friends here on BP...at the very least we can float the ideas here and get expert feedback on them!
Sorry so long...again.