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All Forum Posts by: Supada L.

Supada L. has started 5 posts and replied 146 times.

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Jacob Bohrer:

@Supada L. Personally not a fan of turnkey out of state rentals. All profit for the seller and little cash flow or equity for the buyer. Good luck!

 Thank you. I've learned to stay away from them.

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Lauren Ruppert:

@Supada L. Did you say $100? Why would you do that? Did you read the book?

Which book? I only read a couple and rushed to jump in. My mistake.

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Randy Gutierrez:

It is not uncommon to purchase a property with inherited tenants with below market rents that is netting you very little cashflow. Any investor acquiring inherited tenants will almost always encounter this issue, so I would not sell yourself short yet. You need to look at the future potential and stabilize the property which requires raising the rent to market value and possibly getting new tenants. I'm sure you realized by now that $100 a door is not enough. I personally aim for $300+ per door. Also you should always have reserves when your property is not stabilized as the current cashflow will likely not cover it. Every investor and situation is unique, but raising rents in the beginning can sometimes be better as you have yet to develop a relationship with the inherited tenants.

Thank you so much. I'll hang in there and try to improve it. The lease is ending next month. I will discuss with my PM about rent increase.

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Casey C.:

@Supada L. Turn key companies are notorious for skimping on remodeling. Don't ever buy anything for a turn key provider. U should immediately find a new property manager to take over and get real costs figured out. You will probably have to spend a bit of money the first year to fix all the cheap half *** turn key remodeling job. But STAY THE COURSE. Trim your personal expenses and try and build up a cushion of savings. Maybe you can do a refinance and have a real contractor do a small renovation to be able to get top rents. Roofstock is just another legal scam with a license to RIP you off.

 Good point. I learned it the hard way. And thank you for your advice. That's going to be my next steps. =)

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Nicole W.:

@supada l

Yes. I sold a few a long while back when the crash occurred mainly due to 1) high insurance 2) so many properties went on the market that the rental rates went below my hold ability 3) I had a handful of these and couldn't hold onto them easily. I sold them about 2-3 yrs in. I mainly sold them as they were going to negative cashflow longterm at that point. Not short term. I have bought other properties since knowing that there was some deferred maintenance needed and got that all done then kept my reserves in place so that I could easily handle anything coming up. 

Thank you so much for your response. I'll keep these in mind.

Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

Supada L.Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Posts 147
  • Votes 134
Originally posted by @Dan H.:
Originally posted by @Supada L.:
Originally posted by @Dan H.:
Originally posted by @Supada L.:
Originally posted by @Scot Howat:

Most people dump a few hundred dollars a month into a savings account without thinking twice.  If you're losing a few hundred dollars a month I don't think that's a big deal.  Think of that property as a savings account.  Except that the mortgage balance is getting paid down ($), you get great tax write offs ($$), and if you bought a decent property then the rent will increase ($$$) and the value will go up over time ($$$$).  
If it was me, I'd keep it and move on to the next deal.  You can always reposition it later (refinance, re-rent etc....).  

I bought a deal that was a negative cash flow from day 1 because of my financing (13% interest rate), and I knew it was under valued but that the market hadn't caught up to it yet.  I purchased it for 90k and based on the current available comps the appraiser also said it was worth 90k.  But I knew it was worth at least 120k, but there were no comps to support it.  So I bought it anyways and lost about $300/m.  I have a great tenant pool in that area FYI (very important).  15 months later it appraised for 125k and I refinanced into a small positive cashflow but a huge equity position.
Not all negative cash flow deals are bad.

Thank you so much for sharing your story. It's very encouraging. I've decided to hold it for another year and reevaluate the situation. Thank you. =)

 >I've decided to hold it for another year and reevaluate the situation.

You have indicated the pro forma is too aggressive.  I showed, with cited references, that the historical rent and property appreciation is below the rate of inflation.  Another poster pointed out the city has a declining population.  I did not verify this information, but it seems likely seeing, in inflation adjusted dollars, the property value and rent has been declining.  

What do you expect to happen in the next year?  I suspect a best case, but unlikely because it has an aggressive pro forma, is that you get $1200 cash flow over the next 12 months.   The more likely scenario is that you continue to have negative cash flow. 

The negative cash flow would not bother me if there was good evidence that it would improve.  Without rent or property appreciation (meaning the appreciation is less than the rate of inflation) I see little chance of the situation improving. 

Some questions/thoughts:

  1. What are you expecting to happen in the next 12 months?  What do you see occurring to make this a decent investment?
    2. Do you believe you cannot find a better investment?   The S&P 500 has a lifetime return over 9%.  It is passive.  I am not saying S&P should be the best investment you can find, but I do believe over the long term it will do better than your Meridian investment.  
  2. 3. I realize there is selling costs. You never indicated how much you invested (your initial out of pocket purchase costs), but I expect it was at least 20% (I.e. no greater than 80% LTV). If you sell at a cost of 8% (commissions plus any other closing/miscellaneous costs), you will recover much of that initial investment.
    4. There are too many good investment opportunities available to keep such a poor investment.  Even if it produced $100/month cash flow, this would be a poor investment due to the poor cash flow combined with the poor appreciation outlook. 
    5. I see virtually no up side in keeping this investment.  Best case, it meets its projected cash flow and has a poor return.  Worse case, and the more likely case, it continues to have negative cash flow. 

Good luck


    Thank you for your questions/thoughts. I'm not sure why the rent rate on Rent Jungle and Zillow do not match. This rental is 3BD/1BH. I'm renting out at $850. Zillow estimates $1000. I agree that the appreciation is not good. =(

     It is my belief that in these low rent markets (especially for OOS investors), the 50% rule is too aggressive.  However, I am curious what the 50% rule would place the cash flow.

    You have a 3/1 for renting for $850/month.  What is your monthly debt service (mortgage payment not including taxes and insurance)?

    $850 * 0.5 - (MonthlyDebtService) = cash flow.  If you debt service is over $425/month, the 50% rule would indicate this is a negative cash flow property.  

    I believe for your OOS, low rent property that the 50% rule is too aggressive.  I suspect even if debt service is $400/month that you likely have negative cash flow.

    Good luck

    I've not heard of 50% rule before. Another thing I learned today. Thank you. =)

    My mortgage payment (not include taxes and insurance) is $500, over $425 you mentioned. =(

    Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

    Supada L.Posted
    • New to Real Estate
    • Posts 147
    • Votes 134
    Originally posted by @Kate Hayes:

    I would get rid of the property manager and keep that money. You can manage it from out of state. Talk to the tenants and tell them to report any issues to you directly. When you buy houses there are always unexpected costs out the gate. Once you fix them you should be smooth sailing after that. Everything you fix is one less thing to have to fix later. And when you do finally sell you can advertise all those items have been upgraded / fixed which means you can recoup those losses. 

     Thank you. I didn't look at the situation this way. I'll see what I can do with the PM.

    Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

    Supada L.Posted
    • New to Real Estate
    • Posts 147
    • Votes 134
    Originally posted by @Mike D'Arrigo:
    Originally posted by @Supada L.:
    Originally posted by @Mike D'Arrigo:

    @Supada L. A couple of things immediately jump out. First of all, Roofstock isn't really a turn key company. They do not own and renovate the properties. They are an alternative marketplace to the MLS. Another big question is why did you choose Meridian, MS? From what I can see, it is a small market of only 40K people and the population has been declining significantly. It has only a 55% labor participation rate (national is 63%). It doesn't appear to have a very broad economic base with the majority of jobs being in military and healthcare. Personally, I don't see anything attractive as an investment market. You've also set your sights too low at $100 per month cash flow. There's just not enough margin there to overcome the times that things go wrong. The declining population doesn't bode well for being able to increase rents in the future.

    Thank you for pointing out. I didn't study the market well enough and relied on the information Roofstock provided. They listed it as a turnkey though, with list of fixes they'd made. But you're right. I was supposed to do more study.

    @Supada L. The problem is that everyone has their own definition of turn key. For some, it just means that there is a tenant in place. Work with someone that you can fully trust but also do your own due diligence. When things go wrong, it's not always because the seller lied. Often times it's because there wasn't a common understanding and meeting of the minds. One of the most common areas that this happens is in describing property classes. What someone considers a C class property/neighborhood might be your D class. It's important to make sure you're on the same page.

    Thank you for re-posting this. I think I missed it somehow. But yes. I might not be careful enough and didn't do my due diligence. Thank you for pointing out.

    Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

    Supada L.Posted
    • New to Real Estate
    • Posts 147
    • Votes 134
    Originally posted by @Nicole W.:

    I advise studying up more on what you should look for in a rental property, the set aside amounts you need a margin for (vacancies, repairs, capital improvements). You should know ahead of going into one what you can rent the property for. Know what you need in a property mgr. Nothing is every "turnkey" no matter what you are investing in business wise or real estate wise. One piece of advise I found to be the most useful is "Look, not listen". YOU look at and figure out the #s. YOU see if there is going to be enough for reserves for these items. YOU look at the property. YOU are responsible for your investment decisions and for the upkeep of your investments. Also another piece of advice is "If it isn't in writing, it isn't true" so if you have a contract with someone on their service, ensure it is in writing with them on the contract. Even if out of state there are a lot of ways to do all this. I have a few out of state properties & they are all cash flowing well. Unfornutely when I first started out, being from Ca where the taxes don't fluctuate like other states do when prices go up and not being familiar with hurricanes etc, I invested in areas where the taxes and the insur skyrocketed thus leaving a negative cashflow after I had done my #s. I learned the hard way to also invest in areas that don't have the harsh weather/higher insurances or potential high insur due to their location. So, I didnt' really do all my homework back then on that point. I should have called insur agents well ahead and checked out the taxes. It was up to me to do that. I couldn't blame the realtors or anyone for selling them to me. This business is a business as well just like any other. You must train yourself in this area. Read books on it. You can learn as you go as well, but YOU must learn, apply what you learn, and then manage your investments properly. 

    Thank you so much for the advice and your story. They're very valuable.

    Can I ask a few more questions: Have you sold your first investment? If so, how long had you waited until you decided to sell? And how did you make the decision?

    Post: First rental turned out to be negative cash flowed.

    Supada L.Posted
    • New to Real Estate
    • Posts 147
    • Votes 134
    Originally posted by @Felicia Feliciano:

    Please do not even investigate what a private placement syndication is.   Horrible results, might even be worse than TK-  thats debateable.

    Thanks for the warning. I'll stay away from it. =)