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All Forum Posts by: Stephen Rinaldi

Stephen Rinaldi has started 20 posts and replied 43 times.

Post: Value of Multifamilies

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

I'm predicting here, and maybe I'm a victim of the moment, but I'm not seeing solution for 2 items in our country.  Housing affordability for first time buyers/middle income earners and supply of housing.  Im sure there are areas that this doesnt apply to but generally speaking I dont see any solution for these issues on the horizon.

Considering this issue, and the flexibility that Fannie Mae has released about a month ago making 2-4 units, financed by a 5% down on a primary residence, Im thinking that the most valuable piece of real estate will be 3-4 unit. Triplexes and Quadplexes were basically investor only for the last 2-3 years, because of FHA self sufficiency test caused so many issues, now that these homes can be marketed to 5% down client conventionally its basically 5x their market... Much of the public IMO has not caught on, but as it becomes common knowledge that 5% down conventional works on 2-4 units, expect a bump in competition and subsequently value.

Post: 10% loan for second home

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

Yes of course..  Bank is the key.. Im in PA/NJ/FL/MD/DE... if one of those apply, LMK  

Post: Products of value for house hackers

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

Hello all, just wanted to take the time to share some products of value for the house hackers and share some market changing info:

As of yesterday, Fannie Mae has changed the down payment requirement for primary residences to 5% on up to 4 units. This helps circumvent the self sufficiency test on FHA and make 3-4 units more attainable and more valueable. This also changes the down payment requirement on Homestyle Reno loans too which may really have an impact on options

We recently instituted a 5-1 ARM on FHA/VA which allow for the intial rate to be used for qualification. this allows for more borrowing power and/or a possible difference maker for tight FHA loans.

IMO as a current investor I believe the value of 3-4 units will jump due to these new events, as they can be bought by a wider spread of people in conjuction with many are looking for ways to tackle the industries great issue...Housing affordability,  If you believe that housing affordability is going to be an issue going forward I think 3-4 unit properties are going to be a good bet going forward.

Post: 5% down 2-4 Unit Owner Occupied Conventional Loan~ House Hacker Special

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

PA NJ FL MD and DE

Rates are in the mOd 7's currently

Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87
Quote from @Logan M.:
Quote from @Ethan Gidcumb:

Hey Stephen! In what scenarios do you think House prices will drop?


 If rates continued to increase causing massive layoffs.


 thats what I think is the next shoe to drop..  I also think person credit card debt causing forced sells is another situation to watch. By the end of the year that could be coming to a head

Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

I dont see it that way.  the premise is from my positioning of an owners of multiple properties, 3 businesses and 21 years in the mortgage industry.  Im a part of 200+ transaction per year..

Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87
Quote from @Joe S.:
Quote from @Stephen Rinaldi:

As an owner of a mortgage broker shop I hear it all...  Im just going to wait until rates go down or prices are going to drop soon..  People dont get it, we have inventory shortage.  There may be some events that may occur that may loosen this up over the next 6-12 months, but a solution to the inventory shortage is no where on the horizon.

This means that there will be no price drop, at least in my area interest PA DE NJ MD.  So lets talk about the cost in not buying. Houses here are appreciating 6-8%..so that house you see for 400k will be 430k next year and possible 465k the year after.

Also, what do you think is going to happend to house prices when rates go down...you guessed it values will jump.

The reality is the best time to buy real estate was yesterday, and the next best is today.  People who think that some magic bullet is coming to solve the inventory issue created by 20 years of limited building are mistaken.


I am definitely not questioning your logic. It’s the motive.

It says that you are a lender in your profile. Are you currently buying houses yourself?  



Yes of course, do I need to send my rent roll? My motive is to share information that is valuable to investors/homebuyers. Im not seeing the issue but then again I am lazer focused on my business and dont get too concerned about others.



Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Stephen Rinaldi:

As an owner of a mortgage broker shop I hear it all...  Im just going to wait until rates go down or prices are going to drop soon..  People dont get it, we have inventory shortage.  There may be some events that may occur that may loosen this up over the next 6-12 months, but a solution to the inventory shortage is no where on the horizon.

100% incorrect in my market.  wish you luck too

This means that there will be no price drop, at least in my area interest PA DE NJ MD.  So lets talk about the cost in not buying. Houses here are appreciating 6-8%..so that house you see for 400k will be 430k next year and possible 465k the year after.

Also, what do you think is going to happend to house prices when rates go down...you guessed it values will jump.

The reality is the best time to buy real estate was yesterday, and the next best is today.  People who think that some magic bullet is coming to solve the inventory issue created by 20 years of limited building are mistaken.


 >The reality is the best time to buy real estate was yesterday, and the next best is today.

Not reality.  For example buying in 2006 was a poor time to buy and buying in the subsequent 6 years in virtually all markets, and some markets much longer, would be better.  

Statistically virtually every large city market is cheaper to rent than purchase.  This implies buying costs more than renting in terms of cash flow.  Appreciation has to exceed inflation for there to be returns that counter the cash flow.  

Commercial residential (>4 units) is being impacted by their financing roes.  There is a chance commercial residential finance problems affect non commercial residential.

Then there is whether non commercial residential is the best investment. Commercial residential has experienced declines that non commercial residential has not experienced, various syndicators are still providing near 20% annual return, s&p500 has lifetime return near 10%, money market and CDs have higher return than in years.  There are a lot of investment options.  Non-commercial residential is not always going to provide the best return.

I believe the days of purchasing any property in my market and doing outstanding are over. Many buyers purchasing off the MLS may need to be patient to achieve decent return. Residential RE is not passive, so patience can be difficult.

Good luck


Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87

I dont know Mike, questionable logic here..  I actually made two great connection related to this post, and my hope would be that we will create win/win situations due to speaking up on what Im seeing in the market. Perhaps we just see things through a different lense due the differce in our positioning.  Im both a business owner and investor, so I see the whole field.  

I wish you the best in your endeavors.

Post: The cost of not buying.. the cost no one wants to admit

Stephen Rinaldi
Lender
Posted
  • Lender
  • Media PA
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 87
Quote from @Ethan Gidcumb:

Hey Stephen! In what scenarios do you think House prices will drop?


 I think forced sales due financial issues looming will not be enough to move the needle.  Although I think that may be the story of 2024.  Not having the answer to that question is actually why I feel so strong about appreciation.  US tabled building for nearly 20yrs, incentivizing building at for median income buyers is the only short term solution for inventory, and I dont hear alot about that in my market.  Values are NOT  dropping until inventory issues are solved