Hi Ryan,
It sounds like you're in a great position with your rental property, especially with both positive cash flow and significant appreciation over the years. When deciding whether to sell and reinvest in a higher cash-flowing market, you can use several tools and strategies to compare high appreciation markets versus high cash flow markets. Here’s a breakdown of what you can consider:
1. Return on Equity (ROE) Calculation:
One key metric to assess is your current Return on Equity. Given that your equity has doubled, it’s worth evaluating if your current property is underperforming based on the equity you’ve built.
Formula:
ROE = (Annual Cash Flow / Total Equity) x 100
If your ROE is relatively low, it might be more beneficial to sell the property and invest in a higher cash-flowing market.
2. Cash-on-Cash Return:
If you're considering a property in a different market, cash-on-cash return helps compare how much immediate return you're getting on your invested cash.
Formula:
Cash-on-Cash Return = (Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow / Total Cash Invested) x 100
High cash-flow markets (typically found in secondary or tertiary markets) often have higher cash-on-cash returns but may offer lower appreciation over time.
3. Appreciation Potential:
Evaluate potential appreciation in different markets by studying:
- Historical Market Trends: Tools like Zillow, Redfin, or local MLS can give you historical price data. Look for cities with strong population growth, job creation, and infrastructure development.
- Cap Rate Compression: In appreciating markets, cap rates tend to compress over time, signaling strong property value increases. You can track cap rate trends on platforms like CoStar or LoopNet.
4. Market Analysis Tools:
- Mashvisor: Provides in-depth analysis of neighborhoods for both short-term and long-term rental properties, including cash flow estimates, cap rates, and appreciation potential.
- Roofstock: A marketplace for single-family rentals that allows you to compare cash flow and appreciation potential across various markets.
- Zillow’s Market Reports: These show market appreciation trends across different cities, helping you spot high-growth areas.
5. 1031 Exchange:
If you sell your current property and reinvest in a higher cash-flowing property, you may want to consider a 1031 exchange to defer capital gains taxes. This can maximize your investment potential when moving to a higher cash-flow market.
6. Comparing Markets:
High appreciation markets (like Los Angeles, San Francisco, etc.) tend to have lower cap rates and higher property prices, making them less cash-flow-friendly but better for long-term appreciation. High cash-flow markets (e.g., parts of the Midwest or Southeast) offer higher yields but lower appreciation.
A strategy could be to diversify: Sell your high-appreciation property in LA, then invest in a few smaller, higher cash-flow properties in secondary markets to balance both cash flow and growth.
If you'd like help analyzing financing options or structuring a 1031 exchange for a new property, I’d be happy to assist!
Best regards,
Drago